Spike bucket
07/25/2026, 7:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/25/2026, 7:14:00 P.M. to 07/25/2026, 7:15:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
23% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,003.92
Unexplained QUAI: 30,156.35
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
3.6x above local average
2.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
54
Observable rows
2
3.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
73
Asset volume
39,160.27 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0017e043bC29e32850Bf62db9A38E53A989708d7 • 0x00203549E38168A7B7AE710c4861f49E9F4885ce.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 39160 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0017e043bC29e32850Bf62db9A38E53A989708d7 • 0x00203549E38168A7B7AE710c4861f49E9F4885ce.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/25/2026, 7:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (77% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (23%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0017e043bC29e32850Bf62db9A38E53A989708d7
Net sender
Unknown type
8,900 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00203549E38168A7B7AE710c4861f49E9F4885ce
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,900 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0060cC304E59EC484db3F3FF3309aD13CB035287
Net sender
Unknown type
103.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0008855cF3d0A8cEA4AC97B6ecBFC515C2Cb88BD
Net receiver
Unknown type
103.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
56 tx
19,205.98 QUAI • 73 addresses
07/25/2026, 7:12:45 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate54 tx
39,160.27 QUAI • 73 addresses
07/25/2026, 7:14:45 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
8,920.89 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/25/2026, 7:10:44 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
10,853.22 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/25/2026, 7:16:44 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/25/2026, 7:08:44 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
5,305.93 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/25/2026, 7:18:44 P.M.
-6 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/25/2026, 7:07:31 P.M.
-7 min
2 tx
3,722.23 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/25/2026, 7:06:53 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
8,900 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 7:14:48 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0017e043bC29e32850Bf62db9A38E53A989708d7
To: 0x00203549E38168A7B7AE710c4861f49E9F4885ce
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
8,900 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 7:14:48 P.M.
From: 0x0017e043bC29e32850Bf62db9A38E53A989708d7
To: 0x00203549E38168A7B7AE710c4861f49E9F4885ce
Tx: 0x001f00215491c8eae3a119fe210dcbb13b074522829195ed285d4c08ee9e7c50
103.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 7:14:48 P.M.
From: 0x0060cC304E59EC484db3F3FF3309aD13CB035287
To: 0x0008855cF3d0A8cEA4AC97B6ecBFC515C2Cb88BD
Tx: 0x007a000e767cad4f1a15437fb396f09708f99996ff26d325e3517b9aca593190
