Spike bucket
07/25/2026, 6:29:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/25/2026, 6:29:00 P.M. to 07/25/2026, 6:30:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 28,863.09
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
3.3x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
28,863.09 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 28863 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/25/2026, 6:29:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
28,863.09 QUAI across 11 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003b4Bc4Ec5ADE7673dba21e99A8F5AC2ecCD798
Net sender
Unknown type
1,926.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
1,577.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005321365b4D638f696F96Ea8de1d44843c1BA8f
Net sender
Unknown type
1,187.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 28,863.09 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/25/2026, 6:28:07 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate11 tx
28,863.09 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/25/2026, 6:30:07 P.M.
-3 min
24 tx
18,964.66 QUAI • 36 addresses
07/25/2026, 6:26:08 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/25/2026, 6:32:07 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
19,999.22 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/25/2026, 6:24:08 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
1,877.1 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/25/2026, 6:34:07 P.M.
-7 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/25/2026, 6:21:55 P.M.
+7 min
1 tx
848 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/25/2026, 6:36:07 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.85 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 6:29:40 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
1,118.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 6:29:40 P.M.
From: 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0038000f2f6003826b484580fee74e68d332bde560369e07cd8ee86887410b13
1,577.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 6:29:40 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a000d9a6a8119c4480c5250ed55364a171265458258f71f5b942d8679d9db
702.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 6:29:40 P.M.
From: 0x0010DbbFb928684a207E98e4EAf8037BA0217053
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004900249c69ede1966412d6f3499909d147f164733c67272dd4deb4b30f1b7d
334.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 6:29:40 P.M.
From: 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00730064b1a9dfee14d29bb75de228b1418f918126d0ff19a2c8c733aad7cb18
1,187.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 6:29:40 P.M.
From: 0x005321365b4D638f696F96Ea8de1d44843c1BA8f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0062002824c11578f14e694170556122bb8b539212aef666330dab2f9b4561ce
1,926.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 6:29:40 P.M.
From: 0x003b4Bc4Ec5ADE7673dba21e99A8F5AC2ecCD798
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001c001032b07f9da87b8bf63233d4861289c53137e57407ed195191c6252990
19,998.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 6:29:40 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0026005f79de5117fed64cd9e2b3893c27210af1012704a7d6e6d5d4545395d6
194.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 6:29:40 P.M.
From: 0x00687d5678C69a2623F809d6C9B375AD44EbD404
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e0067a11930b9bfa71f8d3c80d81df27c29aa634230555d6721c2dff0cdbb
1,080.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 6:29:40 P.M.
From: 0x0076EA0Dd7a69eD5Fb6939D80Def75550182D037
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a0034763f0ae575a860173362e885f9312d73f5eeae989400c88f350ece23
216.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 6:29:40 P.M.
From: 0x007d5c74B3EAdaAD3f0986Ae9D4908d00d07D2AC
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00780001a9ec8d0bd78cc70d1ceb7b156968f48f4986ac7f7245edeaa8b598be
525.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 6:29:40 P.M.
From: 0x005E46386A499573Fc0d4F122526bdE398DDcF34
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00660007c9844dff80de8d4f9f2313c9722f9f907611008a233884cb01cfb0a3