Spike bucket
07/25/2026, 4:41:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/25/2026, 4:41:00 P.M. to 07/25/2026, 4:42:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,012.42
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
4.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
2,012.42 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2012 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/25/2026, 4:41:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,012.42 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
Net sender
Unknown type
1,012.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa
Net sender
Unknown type
999.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,012.42 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
505 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/25/2026, 4:40:04 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
2,012.42 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/25/2026, 4:42:03 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
505 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/25/2026, 4:38:03 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/25/2026, 4:44:03 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/25/2026, 4:36:03 P.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/25/2026, 4:46:03 P.M.
-7 min
Best candidate5 tx
12,477.2 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/25/2026, 4:34:04 P.M.
+7 min
1 tx
72.36 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/25/2026, 4:48:04 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,012.81 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 4:41:19 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1,012.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 4:41:19 P.M.
From: 0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000300027b2ba8046a29b25e9bd3e8f9e74e0acf5b0c88ddbc6e2af3cf4a7c49
999.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 4:41:19 P.M.
From: 0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a004ee0d7ba0c7cbf4ce377e87a103e8a0f2483b577f3176d0b7518c482cd