Spike bucket
07/25/2026, 3:08:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/25/2026, 3:08:00 P.M. to 07/25/2026, 3:09:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
46% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 102.58
Unexplained QUAI: 122.77
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
225.35 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x00593fCB361067F2F1770015Dc5A6bF22782afDa.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 225 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x00593fCB361067F2F1770015Dc5A6bF22782afDa.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/25/2026, 3:08:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (54% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (46%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
102.58 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00593fCB361067F2F1770015Dc5A6bF22782afDa
Net receiver
Unknown type
51.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
1,886.2 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/25/2026, 3:06:41 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
225.35 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/25/2026, 3:08:41 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
1,889.68 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/25/2026, 3:04:41 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
50.93 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/25/2026, 3:10:41 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
155.24 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/25/2026, 3:02:41 P.M.
+5 min
53 tx
3,059.99 QUAI • 64 addresses
07/25/2026, 3:12:42 P.M.
-7 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/25/2026, 3:00:41 P.M.
+7 min
Best candidate41 tx
102,544.42 QUAI • 55 addresses
07/25/2026, 3:14:42 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
51.65 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 3:08:11 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x00593fCB361067F2F1770015Dc5A6bF22782afDa
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
50.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 3:08:57 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
Tx: 0x007e00489eca894e85e48ae13f5dba7ac271f3f693ad44d7a77fead7ea077a50
51.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 3:08:11 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x00593fCB361067F2F1770015Dc5A6bF22782afDa
Tx: 0x001c001d3d6b6886725bfcc6f761d633c959a6fd9c56eb25b2beb4e13ad58831