Spike bucket
07/25/2026, 1:49:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/25/2026, 1:49:00 P.M. to 07/25/2026, 1:50:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
47% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,111.3
Unexplained QUAI: 22,239.35
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
3.3x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
3
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
42,350.65 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 42351 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/25/2026, 1:49:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (53% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (47%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
112.13 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Net receiver
Unknown type
58.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000b41A0756a3A1e94D68A2c0b28F3c8a13faC62
Net receiver
Unknown type
53.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/25/2026, 1:47:33 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
42,350.65 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/25/2026, 1:49:33 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/25/2026, 1:46:20 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate4 tx
56,914.05 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/25/2026, 1:51:33 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
98.94 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/25/2026, 1:44:45 P.M.
+5 min
3 tx
16 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/25/2026, 1:53:33 P.M.
-6 min
6 tx
4,149.28 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/25/2026, 1:42:45 P.M.
+7 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/25/2026, 1:55:33 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.17 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 1:49:01 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
53.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 1:49:26 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x000b41A0756a3A1e94D68A2c0b28F3c8a13faC62
Tx: 0x00590071178cffbd7bc2fc65475b645d5460b14ff015e50acdbcfdbedf1aa531
19,999.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 1:49:01 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x001b0068f22fed6516359d2d4c80cdc49e6bb37ea1e80af9af57eb4d510d3a3a
58.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 1:49:01 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Tx: 0x0027007a7f301f8f75eda43200935f79948ae79a0c6b7b39b9546e082c87801a