Spike bucket
07/25/2026, 12:29:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/25/2026, 12:29:00 P.M. to 07/25/2026, 12:30:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
96% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,313.07
Unexplained QUAI: 188.38
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
1.5x previous minute
13x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
4,501.46 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0052f3b637D26Aa13657D5E0B560dD395224098a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4501 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0052f3b637D26Aa13657D5E0B560dD395224098a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/25/2026, 12:29:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,953.69 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0052f3b637D26Aa13657D5E0B560dD395224098a
Net sender
Unknown type
2,045.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
Net sender
Unknown type
1,907.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001e95672D09C75853F729f9b47A61dfE976f9D8
Net sender
Unknown type
359.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
359.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,953.69 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
4,501.46 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/25/2026, 12:29:05 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
2,908.2 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/25/2026, 12:27:05 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
359.39 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/25/2026, 12:31:05 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate3 tx
21,413.52 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/25/2026, 12:25:05 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
19,999.16 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/25/2026, 12:33:05 P.M.
-6 min
1 tx
1,161 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/25/2026, 12:23:05 P.M.
+6 min
1 tx
216.14 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/25/2026, 12:35:05 P.M.
+7 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/25/2026, 12:36:14 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,045.74 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 12:29:01 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0052f3b637D26Aa13657D5E0B560dD395224098a
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
359.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 12:29:49 P.M.
From: 0x001e95672D09C75853F729f9b47A61dfE976f9D8
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0074004e18c0d8256d8a49f2aeaa1386e729373f91351ac953f4bc84869aaa14
2,045.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 12:29:01 P.M.
From: 0x0052f3b637D26Aa13657D5E0B560dD395224098a
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007f0034c63a2f31380bedc8b439903a99f9806eec86a19572814a5021b1553e
1,907.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 12:29:01 P.M.
From: 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d0050c47c87ff883508154c69b41afb3a915bf24852c4f5de34bdf24fe4b3