Spike bucket
07/25/2026, 11:26:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/25/2026, 11:26:00 A.M. to 07/25/2026, 11:27:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,669.09
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
3.6x previous minute
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
6,669.09 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002896BfB4CA4d5C17330fcC5621f3E3ABc31A94.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 6669 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002896BfB4CA4d5C17330fcC5621f3E3ABc31A94.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/25/2026, 11:26:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
5,131.09 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002896BfB4CA4d5C17330fcC5621f3E3ABc31A94
Balanced
Unknown type
4,916.75 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004d9e4F409D06A0e67F754FC49f63753B8648D7
Net sender
Unknown type
1,752.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00120725987C0302eC7551d33f96B283c5c6A8A7
Net sender
Unknown type
1,538 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 5,131.09 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
1,841 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/25/2026, 11:25:05 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
7,712.93 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/25/2026, 11:27:05 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/25/2026, 11:23:05 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate4 tx
21,883.1 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/25/2026, 11:29:05 A.M.
-5 min
4 tx
4,870.07 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/25/2026, 11:21:05 A.M.
+5 min
2 tx
7 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/25/2026, 11:31:05 A.M.
-7 min
3 tx
1,954.76 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/25/2026, 11:19:05 A.M.
+7 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/25/2026, 11:33:05 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,378.75 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 11:26:26 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002896BfB4CA4d5C17330fcC5621f3E3ABc31A94
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1,752.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 11:26:26 A.M.
From: 0x004d9e4F409D06A0e67F754FC49f63753B8648D7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0049004b1e3d1cd1d906bc47da6f6c238f15e7dc013c86bbce1da286e825bc65
3,378.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 11:26:26 A.M.
From: 0x002896BfB4CA4d5C17330fcC5621f3E3ABc31A94
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00190047eb3b9346d503d0b46483f55759255308a6e1b993c91edd7423ff2f05
1,538 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 11:26:01 A.M.
From: 0x00120725987C0302eC7551d33f96B283c5c6A8A7
To: 0x002896BfB4CA4d5C17330fcC5621f3E3ABc31A94
Tx: 0x005d004d0e9aecd9041cb3a9b16d3ae08496b68c7f487aff44410ced7123c171