Spike bucket
07/25/2026, 8:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/25/2026, 8:45:00 A.M. to 07/25/2026, 8:46:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
51% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 54.54
Unexplained QUAI: 53.23
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 91% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
1.7x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
107.76 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F • 0x007784529924F96b754ACef63f039ED86Dd9523D.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 108 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F • 0x007784529924F96b754ACef63f039ED86Dd9523D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/25/2026, 8:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (49% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (51%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
Net sender
Unknown type
49.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007784529924F96b754ACef63f039ED86Dd9523D
Net receiver
Unknown type
49.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
Net sender
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001281A69ced83CA144c0be47C77f03b74CFb422
Net receiver
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
107.76 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/25/2026, 8:45:04 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/25/2026, 8:43:06 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
64.54 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/25/2026, 8:47:04 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/25/2026, 8:41:04 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/25/2026, 8:49:04 A.M.
-6 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/25/2026, 8:39:04 A.M.
+6 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/25/2026, 8:51:04 A.M.
-8 min
Best candidate1 tx
429.76 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/25/2026, 8:37:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
49.54 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 8:45:09 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x007784529924F96b754ACef63f039ED86Dd9523D
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 8:45:31 A.M.
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x001281A69ced83CA144c0be47C77f03b74CFb422
Tx: 0x002b006203fb58fb26c4e710cb7dadbdd4531aae5b9f87e3d19453d471556280
49.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 8:45:09 A.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x007784529924F96b754ACef63f039ED86Dd9523D
Tx: 0x003e004ac0b3d1a4f7e167a003b8f606beb1c1ece90b37c0d4efb8c187c34567