Spike bucket
07/25/2026, 8:18:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/25/2026, 8:18:00 A.M. to 07/25/2026, 8:19:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 223.79
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
39x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
223.79 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 224 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/25/2026, 8:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
213.79 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
107.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00425268e6F93AC858EE576892E6739A0B23153a
Net sender
Unknown type
106.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
Net sender
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00737b2617381B7F1517DA2d1443cB7004692D35
Net receiver
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 213.79 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
5.68 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/25/2026, 8:17:05 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
224.79 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/25/2026, 8:19:04 A.M.
-3 min
29 tx
2,144.82 QUAI • 38 addresses
07/25/2026, 8:15:04 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate3 tx
2,145.88 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/25/2026, 8:21:04 A.M.
-5 min
53 tx
758.22 QUAI • 67 addresses
07/25/2026, 8:13:04 A.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/25/2026, 8:23:04 A.M.
-7 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/25/2026, 8:11:04 A.M.
+7 min
4 tx
21 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/25/2026, 8:25:05 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
107.55 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 8:18:19 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 8:18:58 A.M.
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x00737b2617381B7F1517DA2d1443cB7004692D35
Tx: 0x0016000b1104184308ba2bf4caa808e4f9f76dcdc9b7dafce29882d569647376
107.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 8:18:19 A.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001e00261bf2ebd84ae9bc226feaa5750d0050deb5adffd8ab29fd105f30c69b
106.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 8:18:19 A.M.
From: 0x00425268e6F93AC858EE576892E6739A0B23153a
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000100685469b0a599e1eb3283b7ca8024ee343bd1af17b0e529d63d49073738
