Spike bucket
07/25/2026, 8:08:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/25/2026, 8:08:00 A.M. to 07/25/2026, 8:09:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,814.61
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
907x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
1,814.61 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1815 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/25/2026, 8:08:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,813.61 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E
Net sender
Unknown type
918.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0061c6660D4987f907b680a5e5A3b4d1db008cD4
Net sender
Unknown type
729.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0054403727995A1b50197b34D7D6E64e70C068e1
Net sender
Unknown type
164.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075F5cD99125DecB593a6E2C06aBE37FF3EE102
Net sender
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,813.61 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
2 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/25/2026, 8:07:04 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
1,814.61 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/25/2026, 8:09:04 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
730 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/25/2026, 8:05:04 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/25/2026, 8:11:04 A.M.
+5 min
53 tx
758.22 QUAI • 67 addresses
07/25/2026, 8:13:04 A.M.
-6 min
5 tx
1,952.55 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/25/2026, 8:02:04 A.M.
-7 min
1 tx
2,139.37 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/25/2026, 8:01:04 A.M.
+7 min
Best candidate29 tx
2,144.82 QUAI • 38 addresses
07/25/2026, 8:15:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
918.85 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 8:08:06 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
164.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 8:08:35 A.M.
From: 0x0054403727995A1b50197b34D7D6E64e70C068e1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0020007e70ae5c7a4079b7b73381b5265591fa0aecbcb1be1b0ff453704a625c
918.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 8:08:06 A.M.
From: 0x0029159354C9d7a5c4a67B4D710Ac13cB12e4a6E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e0042fb9c74ed271c3879cb7fbb1b459562e26b8676483b01e385b2c58592
729.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 8:08:06 A.M.
From: 0x0061c6660D4987f907b680a5e5A3b4d1db008cD4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0030000bb71017b35bcf77489bb1cc40d9118ab5b611dbcbe70665d76df0a5d7
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 8:08:06 A.M.
From: 0x0075F5cD99125DecB593a6E2C06aBE37FF3EE102
To: 0x002a9746030D00d4a6Efff7fB002b4ed32bFeDDC
Tx: 0x003b00474588e3cd37f4aaf4988f3760cd7a72c1c1b875f4aab1664ad0e86ed7