Spike bucket
07/25/2026, 6:20:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/25/2026, 6:20:00 A.M. to 07/25/2026, 6:21:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21,181.18
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 94% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
11x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
6
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
53.76 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 54 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x00182BEc9418463505ED18E257B9ae1CE5922C45 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/25/2026, 6:20:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,309.18 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0058b70bA143A711E425E495C9f07309453b4130
Net sender
Unknown type
870 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000BB188e296C49047150f61f03A385257F4ED3D
Net receiver
Unknown type
870 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
Net sender
Unknown type
206.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00182BEc9418463505ED18E257B9ae1CE5922C45 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 2 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,309.18 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
53.76 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/25/2026, 6:20:02 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
5 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/25/2026, 6:19:02 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
21,181.18 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/25/2026, 6:21:02 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/25/2026, 6:18:02 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
2.74 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/25/2026, 6:22:02 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/25/2026, 6:17:02 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/25/2026, 6:23:02 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/25/2026, 6:16:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.87 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 6:20:26 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
870 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 6:20:48 A.M.
From: 0x0058b70bA143A711E425E495C9f07309453b4130
To: 0x000BB188e296C49047150f61f03A385257F4ED3D
Tx: 0x0061003b572777d9120f7f7502ebb43c8ece741d34b9229afd11534cb0009eb6
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 6:20:48 A.M.
From: 0x00182BEc9418463505ED18E257B9ae1CE5922C45
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0034007b93537093cf9115ba67bd7e2e9564eff66151996a054dca1475ef14c4
103.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 6:20:26 A.M.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007b003a748f22f302b11cddd52f5d65522300360ef1bd5384acfebaad09cc81
19,998.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 6:20:26 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0035003372330d49f5fadb7cfaf08d6c068c7a9b593929a63d2634ac503cf672
206.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 6:20:26 A.M.
From: 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e00493dd696ab471223302a62eff157174ecd31f94907069269694b7aa0ea
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 6:20:26 A.M.
From: 0x00182BEc9418463505ED18E257B9ae1CE5922C45
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x000600231271da97675df51eb91fab4f4ac815bca3b09507ada397a2409cd802
