Spike bucket
07/25/2026, 6:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/25/2026, 6:10:00 A.M. to 07/25/2026, 6:11:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
2% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 22.06
Unexplained QUAI: 1,054.24
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
36x previous minute
49x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
1,076.3 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688 • 0x000310d48B85432C7DFbeC822658F1C09FE539aA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1076 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688 • 0x000310d48B85432C7DFbeC822658F1C09FE539aA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/25/2026, 6:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (98% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (2%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
Net sender
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000310d48B85432C7DFbeC822658F1C09FE539aA
Net receiver
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072Ad109f28B090C3fdaC703a079397dc7Cf4c5
Net sender
Unknown type
8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0073e72621BC2aA69b97E870C354cE9194c75620
Net receiver
Unknown type
8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
4.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,076.3 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/25/2026, 6:10:02 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
30.16 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/25/2026, 6:09:02 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
22.06 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/25/2026, 6:11:02 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/25/2026, 6:08:02 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate60 tx
20,425.2 QUAI • 72 addresses
07/25/2026, 6:12:03 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
14,972 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/25/2026, 6:07:02 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
32 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/25/2026, 6:13:02 A.M.
-4 min
26 tx
19,095.16 QUAI • 37 addresses
07/25/2026, 6:06:03 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 6:10:11 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x000310d48B85432C7DFbeC822658F1C09FE539aA
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
4.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 6:10:40 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x000a0061036f98ad94ddad9107a000c5892393156c6a2733f0b89bffe9f7d7ed
8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 6:10:40 A.M.
From: 0x0072Ad109f28B090C3fdaC703a079397dc7Cf4c5
To: 0x0073e72621BC2aA69b97E870C354cE9194c75620
Tx: 0x004b007b5276392ddcbefb79fe75bcfd42ba9df270f3cbd997bc428451345188
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 6:10:11 A.M.
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x000310d48B85432C7DFbeC822658F1C09FE539aA
Tx: 0x003c000452178afa75b65ddc1d5234dd082a994e3e3f9c64f14d8c5e9f00070f
