Spike bucket
07/25/2026, 2:59:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/25/2026, 2:59:00 A.M. to 07/25/2026, 3:00:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12,637.13
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
12,637.13 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 12637 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/25/2026, 2:59:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
12,637.13 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
Net sender
Unknown type
6,652.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002F491D8ef5eDE532e5D4f523904a2B383802a2
Net sender
Unknown type
3,038.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004E24C5DD33FB5f4865e26F8BB891beF3347e4D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,839.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004b24261E537dE9fC1759aC11a635A4299C9C05
Net sender
Unknown type
648.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
5 tx
12,637.13 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/25/2026, 2:59:49 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
475.61 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/25/2026, 2:55:49 A.M.
-9 min
15 tx
8,679.48 QUAI • 27 addresses
07/25/2026, 2:49:50 A.M.
-10 min
3 tx
15,708.95 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/25/2026, 2:48:36 A.M.
-11 min
8 tx
4,950.78 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/25/2026, 2:48:13 A.M.
-12 min
9 tx
17,379.1 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/25/2026, 2:47:13 A.M.
-13 min
12 tx
19,892.6 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/25/2026, 2:46:13 A.M.
-14 min
Best candidate19 tx
27,634.41 QUAI • 30 addresses
07/25/2026, 2:45:13 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
6,652.38 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 2:59:20 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
1,839.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 2:59:20 A.M.
From: 0x004E24C5DD33FB5f4865e26F8BB891beF3347e4D
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0029000ee6fb4f7599df7e9b16392bda3917bff2703f5fe468c75f3940885458
6,652.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 2:59:20 A.M.
From: 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0034007b6931872385dcbf66d7627bd236e02dec2f026662c74a2dfa7343bb55
3,038.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 2:59:20 A.M.
From: 0x002F491D8ef5eDE532e5D4f523904a2B383802a2
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0005007e77b0a493a5a8eef38eb86b08fb86853c9f1976f64062770aafab9c52
458.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 2:59:20 A.M.
From: 0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0064001de3a1d09059ae251672b17c0e17169c941fa98e70f5785bb05861d3a9
648.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 2:59:20 A.M.
From: 0x004b24261E537dE9fC1759aC11a635A4299C9C05
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0078002a3727ea9d3787e6c3865208e2d1dca0c42b153c17a326b866f92a5fb7
