Spike bucket
07/25/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/25/2026, 2:40:00 A.M. to 07/25/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
24% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,309.42
Unexplained QUAI: 10,526.59
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
1.5x previous minute
1.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
8
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
13,836.01 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 13836 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/25/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (76% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (24%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,289.12 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,917.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,020.3 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x005DD62d10A84d4C1130e497080b4aC35aB6cd17
Net receiver
Unknown type
572.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005D87D52567A05E699462656f7C0745b434F017
Net receiver
Unknown type
268.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
12 tx
13,836.01 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/25/2026, 2:40:13 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
9,139.91 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/25/2026, 2:39:13 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
923.93 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/25/2026, 2:38:13 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
3,692.06 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/25/2026, 2:37:13 A.M.
+3 min
10 tx
8,819.16 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/25/2026, 2:43:13 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
15,399.4 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/25/2026, 2:36:13 A.M.
+5 min
Best candidate19 tx
27,634.41 QUAI • 30 addresses
07/25/2026, 2:45:13 A.M.
-6 min
12 tx
12,321.51 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/25/2026, 2:34:13 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,917.05 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 2:40:41 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
222.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 2:40:59 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004E268B19eAA2e9747df088A8C21B6732668C34
Tx: 0x006f002236c3b2bb6421bb36e14cad5a2d2d0154aec45f49ae39078f5550c058
27.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 2:40:59 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005e4E7CeAf61Bfd75Ce3464Be8A83E99d27cE0C
Tx: 0x00170038df489aead3ebb414165862d34693e6be4fa3e941fca0dcebd20c5a83
572.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 2:40:41 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005DD62d10A84d4C1130e497080b4aC35aB6cd17
Tx: 0x0074001f1097c81ea37b31837a596c4f66289b9f9b80b0d6325c1558a7e6d6d4
1,917.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 2:40:41 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
Tx: 0x000b0067c6ba1ad660bfd3eaa90f92c7a41a70897af5c7239f9926eaf4c01b41
268.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 2:40:38 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005D87D52567A05E699462656f7C0745b434F017
Tx: 0x000900358991ea03577b7061538c400a025bc43c16ad8238389944cbdf5c8e2f
97.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 2:40:38 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004Dd3B0944abF0EA6fCC7264c3b78F0889c683C
Tx: 0x002700365ab7b551eee82bc2a4b53c8eeebffba94af0c8363f68f3b96003be39
51.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 2:40:12 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004d6A8315C2D567fe944979a836F363a159A547
Tx: 0x007500005926c120340e48ffdeae90ae1832c8eb85d620d4aec2171c83096598
151.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 2:40:12 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005b603C8D33511c6DF524BE933365e1AF0Df9Cc
Tx: 0x0068004933f05c689e165ffebf2f361ffaca994171c4c631452dd802cc5afb9d
