Spike bucket
07/25/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/25/2026, 2:22:00 A.M. to 07/25/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
58% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,065.84
Unexplained QUAI: 779.46
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.2x previous minute
0.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
1,845.3 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002817Ec732850FD13f9F84698E97402CBe55cAc.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 1845 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002817Ec732850FD13f9F84698E97402CBe55cAc.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/25/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (42% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (58%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
588.42 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002817Ec732850FD13f9F84698E97402CBe55cAc
Net receiver
Unknown type
351.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
268.33 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0020fE056a03c72c7F87ed27c760B30B80f64F09
Net receiver
Unknown type
239.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00279149c2f7c3783737B79597A7Ceb558D12241
Net receiver
Unknown type
236.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
1,845.3 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/25/2026, 2:22:13 A.M.
-1 min
18 tx
11,727.88 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/25/2026, 2:21:13 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
2,217.8 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/25/2026, 2:23:13 A.M.
-2 min
16 tx
4,526.21 QUAI • 30 addresses
07/25/2026, 2:20:13 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
8,268.98 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/25/2026, 2:24:13 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
709.01 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/25/2026, 2:19:12 A.M.
+3 min
12 tx
5,493.06 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/25/2026, 2:25:13 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate31 tx
55,306.56 QUAI • 43 addresses
07/25/2026, 2:18:13 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
351.48 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 2:22:19 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002817Ec732850FD13f9F84698E97402CBe55cAc
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
28.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 2:22:19 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00210F35c047a1E6C3377876C8B0e273a0f7332e
Tx: 0x004a003da0b56b56597530bfd692f33a189ed21752a63de3c56d6aa385860b1c
41.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 2:22:19 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0043F79bA067A59015BF759E8060163DcC6A99eB
Tx: 0x007900600ae5291621464d842ba452b73ab60ba9e11d28d2186c9e3a8e39b4d5
351.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 2:22:19 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002817Ec732850FD13f9F84698E97402CBe55cAc
Tx: 0x00650036de63cb70e681ea783d002f4961fd6b880b618ef6b3007d8c2ca7d3b5
239.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 2:22:13 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0020fE056a03c72c7F87ed27c760B30B80f64F09
Tx: 0x001d002b6c86590429b16c468c7a0789ff773466116666791e00f21f181b1ce6
236.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 2:22:13 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00279149c2f7c3783737B79597A7Ceb558D12241
Tx: 0x0008005958ea135ee20121ee3ad98e1b456ab20cf36c07a57cfe0bb5e03e4fc3
167.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 2:22:13 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00428aBCd879D00A29a436CE0cB998C3376b38E1
Tx: 0x00360077aa647c9a5e0a7c2690b6dbe833b9687af14c147f8a3fd5e2e77fed98