Spike bucket
07/25/2026, 12:20:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/25/2026, 12:20:00 A.M. to 07/25/2026, 12:21:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
97% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 22,747.46
Unexplained QUAI: 774
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 88% of explained volume
Relative context
4.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
10
90.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
23,521.46 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 23521 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/25/2026, 12:20:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
22,747.46 QUAI across 10 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0052f3b637D26Aa13657D5E0B560dD395224098a
Net sender
Unknown type
1,773.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
Net sender
Unknown type
248.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0008265266808AbB4675E8589165d96A1e7199d2
Net sender
Unknown type
113.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 22,747.46 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
1,031.17 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/25/2026, 12:19:57 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/25/2026, 12:18:57 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate11 tx
23,521.46 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/25/2026, 12:20:57 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/25/2026, 12:17:57 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
23 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/25/2026, 12:21:57 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
546.91 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/25/2026, 12:16:57 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
19,999.04 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/25/2026, 12:22:57 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/25/2026, 12:15:46 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.8 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 12:20:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
100.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 12:20:02 A.M.
From: 0x000cDD7d2F6Ef30215B7f8A8d7c409AdF3935b86
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006900231222c4ae49bc11336d21c07700fb2e54ef429844e46ef6ff2a2f6c0b
100.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 12:20:02 A.M.
From: 0x002536BB0CcD07e62c83B286069BA9f73250eaA0
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00640067056f8759b68bef3a782c593c6034485028c0d35f72612e351963f549
100.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 12:20:02 A.M.
From: 0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0044000ee268ce8b63672594cbf79232489c8853c0595d469ecdad62b779afc7
100.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 12:20:02 A.M.
From: 0x0006B816B358B40b4841917693EB5A37f0175ddB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000000300740e47408c5c7067be801f8678bce592d6ab0de1d70ebecac954132
113.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 12:20:00 A.M.
From: 0x0008265266808AbB4675E8589165d96A1e7199d2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0038001bd7304b8ce2870393123f452ace8e6c0a244a3766d750e0bb0fc24e6d
248.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 12:20:00 A.M.
From: 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001500603f5f09b0ac54b74d6958d6453b8da8592b719d9e667fae3d1664fff4
105.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 12:20:00 A.M.
From: 0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006b004eff299179f12b5059571c1064f75bc3472a9cb46e520c173db8caf035
104.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 12:20:00 A.M.
From: 0x0064Fbd982e770771641bb82F5961e900E3Bda88
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0034000b9ce1d389ae8d9a8bc4b177dd5ff2912633cb9944f9011da0384d6d2a
19,998.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 12:20:00 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0023005b16e58054ffd38164de859b58c6622b6765e133b0257a62c6d142c4b1
1,773.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/25/2026, 12:20:00 A.M.
From: 0x0052f3b637D26Aa13657D5E0B560dD395224098a
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005e00166f422cd53fcac3022e04e849811a407d2fdaed35463100d4f366fa0d