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Spike bucket

07/24/2026, 10:41:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/24/2026, 10:41:00 P.M. to 07/24/2026, 10:42:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
28% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21,437.54
Unexplained QUAI: 54,393.58
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 93% of explained volume
Relative context
2.9x above local average
4600x previous minute
3.5x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
55
Observable rows
3
5.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
66
Asset volume
75,831.12 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 75831 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowThin source coverage
Last updated: 07/24/2026, 10:41:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (72% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (28%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
21,437.54 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e67574363DAffcB70AF7Ae24e1DEBde68D1b1
Net sender
Unknown type
1,280.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015Fa00e96f7342Adf0B421F644f9eEc25B7728
Net sender
Unknown type
158.4 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 21,437.54 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

3 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 55. The remaining 52 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

19,998.78 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:41:07 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

3 transactions
158.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:41:07 P.M.
From: 0x0015Fa00e96f7342Adf0B421F644f9eEc25B7728
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0047006a558cf8bff92b4fabd6dc6c93d2f78e96766dd3370cbf8b2dc975bb18
Open txWallet profile
1,280.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:41:07 P.M.
From: 0x003e67574363DAffcB70AF7Ae24e1DEBde68D1b1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0063006a48a12983dd3347cc8aefcffe9a08986c44bf1510d37198d6ec2c013f
Open txWallet profile
19,998.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:41:07 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002b0007d21c0de220b63287ee572dad94ac558ac89467226e8ea3bc762721e0
Open txWallet profile