Spike bucket
07/24/2026, 10:35:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/24/2026, 10:35:00 P.M. to 07/24/2026, 10:36:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
13% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 168
Unexplained QUAI: 1,112.6
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 95% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
7.6x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
1,280.6 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004A020D914Da05d81a1d0cb6b1CA9713e484cd7 • 0x0015Fa00e96f7342Adf0B421F644f9eEc25B7728.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 1281 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004A020D914Da05d81a1d0cb6b1CA9713e484cd7 • 0x0015Fa00e96f7342Adf0B421F644f9eEc25B7728.
0x004A020D914Da05d81a1d0cb6b1CA9713e484cd7 -> 0x0015Fa00e96f7342Adf0B421F644f9eEc25B7728 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/24/2026, 10:35:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (87% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (13%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004A020D914Da05d81a1d0cb6b1CA9713e484cd7
Net sender
Unknown type
168 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0015Fa00e96f7342Adf0B421F644f9eEc25B7728
Net receiver
Unknown type
168 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x004A020D914Da05d81a1d0cb6b1CA9713e484cd7 → 0x0015Fa00e96f7342Adf0B421F644f9eEc25B7728
3 repeated flows • 168 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
1,280.6 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/24/2026, 10:35:00 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/24/2026, 10:34:00 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
168 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/24/2026, 10:36:00 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate2 tx
114,883.03 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/24/2026, 10:33:00 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/24/2026, 10:37:00 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
19,998.78 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/24/2026, 10:32:01 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
114,882.07 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/24/2026, 10:38:00 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/24/2026, 10:31:00 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
160 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:35:23 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004A020D914Da05d81a1d0cb6b1CA9713e484cd7
To: 0x0015Fa00e96f7342Adf0B421F644f9eEc25B7728
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:35:55 P.M.
From: 0x004A020D914Da05d81a1d0cb6b1CA9713e484cd7
To: 0x0015Fa00e96f7342Adf0B421F644f9eEc25B7728
Tx: 0x006f001bb89fbdc68467c336ba06e536f1cd03058cb3e4307c0a29bad711e5b9
6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:35:34 P.M.
From: 0x004A020D914Da05d81a1d0cb6b1CA9713e484cd7
To: 0x0015Fa00e96f7342Adf0B421F644f9eEc25B7728
Tx: 0x00240052f137bee14130e5864a9cac00fa525827d1ef186e98573e1ac56da945
160 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:35:23 P.M.
From: 0x004A020D914Da05d81a1d0cb6b1CA9713e484cd7
To: 0x0015Fa00e96f7342Adf0B421F644f9eEc25B7728
Tx: 0x00000059c117ca78ae9c164e38dd9acfbbcab2a2e669499bc5b8587155a2c7c6