Spike bucket
07/24/2026, 8:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/24/2026, 8:17:00 P.M. to 07/24/2026, 8:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 33,755.58
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
7.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
33,755.58 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 33756 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/24/2026, 8:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
33,755.58 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net sender
Unknown type
12,623.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0064D2dcf1027693B6247AfDA08A0da153d6AdE6
Net sender
Unknown type
999.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
Net sender
Unknown type
133.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 33,755.58 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/24/2026, 8:16:59 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/24/2026, 8:15:59 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
33,755.58 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/24/2026, 8:17:59 P.M.
-2 min
43 tx
2,859.49 QUAI • 55 addresses
07/24/2026, 8:15:00 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/24/2026, 8:18:59 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/24/2026, 8:13:59 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
26.25 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/24/2026, 8:19:59 P.M.
-4 min
50 tx
1,796.88 QUAI • 58 addresses
07/24/2026, 8:12:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.76 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 8:17:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
133.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 8:17:00 P.M.
From: 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0065004639ebc8bff9481d46c8d85f24c2436a7806336826841b09d7c9a1eedd
19,998.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 8:17:00 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001e007d2aacf3a2e641e37d6787338eb962f0d4150bfe9e9cb5b6b0d06b9b92
12,623.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 8:17:00 P.M.
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00210039feb9aa73f75c66f94f3bd8c8e321cbcada6d4d278743f19a44bb82a6
999.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 8:17:00 P.M.
From: 0x0064D2dcf1027693B6247AfDA08A0da153d6AdE6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00130047c9d0a9a964e5ae064197ce590716e57da63759c65fd5c74c7eb1cf97