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Spike bucket

07/24/2026, 10:53:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/24/2026, 10:53:00 A.M. to 07/24/2026, 10:54:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 45,238.38
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 180
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
0.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
45,238.38 QUAI
180 QI
Avg confidence
70.4%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 45238 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x008f279d954a1A776edB2B39071d2a7e5d315798 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 07/24/2026, 10:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
24,968.12 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0066C4dc135b2b9A8EdB75D0048139c150B62C88
Net sender
Unknown type
10,291.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
Net sender
Unknown type
8,007.43 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da0x008f279d954a1A776edB2B39071d2a7e5d315798
2 repeated flows180 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 24,968.12 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

19,999.15 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:53:42 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

9 transactions
270.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:53:50 A.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x0041003b3723a91edfb4a50375ff4604229423f7e39b66b1c4a8cdf599f620b9
Open txWallet profile
10,291.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:53:42 A.M.
From: 0x0066C4dc135b2b9A8EdB75D0048139c150B62C88
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0056007031692dbe7308034d18e9327d18d67c3adccb114e372f71e2039c48e3
Open txWallet profile
3,624.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:53:42 A.M.
From: 0x0048174911Afdd1FC89673bE5456606418a2748e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002c002c78a9997a5a891e26f75f7c90056f332800d9f5fa1695cd46922a8fd8
Open txWallet profile
8,007.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:53:42 A.M.
From: 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00360059103b34504f3f3a512e9b1556a27358e45a8f35a073a201458c32ec2e
Open txWallet profile
3,044.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:53:42 A.M.
From: 0x002896BfB4CA4d5C17330fcC5621f3E3ABc31A94
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0000007e2e0fdc3f8b307f15566458c4894529e96987a09097fbbf7746040a25
Open txWallet profile
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:53:42 A.M.
From: 0x003e315a4a1F6D35b2c67C4264489538A7d0d37f
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x001b001df7f2172a58493cd4da4a5f986dd54e68780e909f676e4d198c9947ac
180 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:53:42 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x008f279d954a1A776edB2B39071d2a7e5d315798
Tx: 0x005100317e94e4e6616ae4b98e611d46d15420a2fbf93716d91b5b67f45ad0ce
19,999.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:53:42 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0072002466c40c003017991b991c393bd2b679ca3cff0e7d2c1eae4a4bbffd7d
Open txWallet profile
4.22 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:53:18 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x008f279d954a1A776edB2B39071d2a7e5d315798
Tx: 0x007400a7fc6522a62d76ac3bbfecc51389dfdf4f7745669c66d67eda0e8fa5ca