Spike bucket
07/24/2026, 10:53:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/24/2026, 10:53:00 A.M. to 07/24/2026, 10:54:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 45,238.38
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 180
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
0.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
45,238.38 QUAI
180 QI
Avg confidence
70.4%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 45238 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x008f279d954a1A776edB2B39071d2a7e5d315798 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/24/2026, 10:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
24,968.12 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0066C4dc135b2b9A8EdB75D0048139c150B62C88
Net sender
Unknown type
10,291.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
Net sender
Unknown type
8,007.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x008f279d954a1A776edB2B39071d2a7e5d315798
2 repeated flows • 180 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 24,968.12 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate13 tx
83,790.49 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/24/2026, 10:52:56 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
62,030.66 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/24/2026, 10:51:56 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
45,238.38 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/24/2026, 10:53:56 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
501.55 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/24/2026, 10:50:56 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
42,641.45 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/24/2026, 10:54:56 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/24/2026, 10:49:56 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/24/2026, 10:55:56 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
16,301.95 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/24/2026, 10:48:56 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.15 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:53:42 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
270.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:53:50 A.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x0041003b3723a91edfb4a50375ff4604229423f7e39b66b1c4a8cdf599f620b9
10,291.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:53:42 A.M.
From: 0x0066C4dc135b2b9A8EdB75D0048139c150B62C88
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0056007031692dbe7308034d18e9327d18d67c3adccb114e372f71e2039c48e3
3,624.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:53:42 A.M.
From: 0x0048174911Afdd1FC89673bE5456606418a2748e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002c002c78a9997a5a891e26f75f7c90056f332800d9f5fa1695cd46922a8fd8
8,007.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:53:42 A.M.
From: 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00360059103b34504f3f3a512e9b1556a27358e45a8f35a073a201458c32ec2e
3,044.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:53:42 A.M.
From: 0x002896BfB4CA4d5C17330fcC5621f3E3ABc31A94
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0000007e2e0fdc3f8b307f15566458c4894529e96987a09097fbbf7746040a25
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:53:42 A.M.
From: 0x003e315a4a1F6D35b2c67C4264489538A7d0d37f
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x001b001df7f2172a58493cd4da4a5f986dd54e68780e909f676e4d198c9947ac
180 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:53:42 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x008f279d954a1A776edB2B39071d2a7e5d315798
Tx: 0x005100317e94e4e6616ae4b98e611d46d15420a2fbf93716d91b5b67f45ad0ce
19,999.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:53:42 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0072002466c40c003017991b991c393bd2b679ca3cff0e7d2c1eae4a4bbffd7d
4.22 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:53:18 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x008f279d954a1A776edB2B39071d2a7e5d315798
Tx: 0x007400a7fc6522a62d76ac3bbfecc51389dfdf4f7745669c66d67eda0e8fa5ca
