Spike bucket
07/24/2026, 10:43:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/24/2026, 10:43:00 A.M. to 07/24/2026, 10:44:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
33% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 19,999.14
Unexplained QUAI: 40,548.39
Explained QI: 4.22
Unexplained QI: 175.79
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
1.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
2
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
60,547.53 QUAI
180 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 60548 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/24/2026, 10:43:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (67% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (33%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net sender
Unknown type
4.22 QI across 1 visible row
0x00A977D6148Dc38a38e224BB9FA1b026fC32CA6e
Net receiver
Unknown type
4.22 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/24/2026, 10:42:55 A.M.
-1 min
16 tx
46,757.49 QUAI • 32 addresses
07/24/2026, 10:41:56 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
60,547.53 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/24/2026, 10:43:56 A.M.
-2 min
36 tx
59,734.85 QUAI • 47 addresses
07/24/2026, 10:40:56 A.M.
+2 min
22 tx
36,643 QUAI • 36 addresses
07/24/2026, 10:44:56 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
27,148.79 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/24/2026, 10:39:56 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
62,031.17 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/24/2026, 10:45:55 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/24/2026, 10:38:56 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.14 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:43:14 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
4.22 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:43:21 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00A977D6148Dc38a38e224BB9FA1b026fC32CA6e
Tx: 0x005b009f3e363f600f25fb6643990e4223810b9da351360f4f9d69d28dc97b8e
19,999.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 10:43:14 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x00260018a79dcd6c0476bc0d04e75b76ad942a53c50e655684097c9a757ce810