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Spike bucket

07/24/2026, 3:14:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/24/2026, 3:14:00 A.M. to 07/24/2026, 3:15:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21,112.99
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 3.36
Unexplained QI: 136.64
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 95% of explained volume
Relative context
3.6x above local average
25x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
9
90.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
21,112.99 QUAI
140 QI
Avg confidence
66.2%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 21113 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 07/24/2026, 3:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,977.05 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
Net sender
Unknown type
441.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001f686d12B0DaFf947931A4798d37279777e38
Net sender
Unknown type
135.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000a11C9EaB16Ae8d5c782a953400aD2040BE6b9
Net receiver
Unknown type
135.94 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,977.05 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

9 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 10. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

19,998.82 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 3:14:25 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

9 transactions
100.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 3:14:25 A.M.
From: 0x000cDD7d2F6Ef30215B7f8A8d7c409AdF3935b86
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0061002c6f5cd70549d1061797d941adb4d7920e4d7eaf3a3a1c2a02069e6675
Open txWallet profile
101.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 3:14:25 A.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x00197E1fA3B9E6E9d3519E2546f558c76b8299aC
Miner wallet
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00790001b6977dec6e0a9966f692e29a3c347053305f978c5dc2e0acd0f659b9
Open txWallet profile
19,998.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 3:14:25 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0002004a9085f96cd2b4cd4433dc3b00420e2718303871399d5205eb928abdbb
Open txWallet profile
119.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 3:14:25 A.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000e0027c6e5653e9f4ca55f069cde7c7f8f575ed3465179b8dffc583fcd8d7e
Open txWallet profile
103.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 3:14:25 A.M.
From: 0x0006B816B358B40b4841917693EB5A37f0175ddB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006c007ac44e7a68cebc296b85d9a4e50c9f359b220e694c7de4271033d87104
Open txWallet profile
441.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 3:14:25 A.M.
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004c006ebbde05210a4088c1b89f8af4b59f17dd716fa004153be0a7738a14e5
Open txWallet profile
111.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 3:14:25 A.M.
From: 0x0015216C123A2532e9bf6b0Af42402Ae0f0ACFC7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0028004c78b011f2a0aa3ab036ed68a8992a0956400abde895436001e672672c
Open txWallet profile
3.36 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 3:14:09 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00f55781de4730BF66E0fD58B3404Dcd8c1f0744
Tx: 0x000700e1bfdb39ea6fbf8ab75517d7ef96f402bc1bd71ee6b935ffa7b0f84b65
135.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/24/2026, 3:14:09 A.M.
From: 0x0001f686d12B0DaFf947931A4798d37279777e38
To: 0x000a11C9EaB16Ae8d5c782a953400aD2040BE6b9
Tx: 0x003f003a6a64c81f2c5209055608d159562d519ffb6515d5b1e77ab0f9236d75
Open txWallet profile