Spike bucket
07/23/2026, 11:02:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/23/2026, 11:02:00 P.M. to 07/23/2026, 11:03:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 23,959.14
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 321.19
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
7.7x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
23,959.14 QUAI
321.19 QI
Avg confidence
68.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 23959 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/23/2026, 11:02:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
23,959.14 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
8,510.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
Net sender
Unknown type
8,200.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0048174911Afdd1FC89673bE5456606418a2748e
Net sender
Unknown type
4,424.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0016F5bDeF26D68eF1DD175F444Cd5378FE05F8C
Net sender
Unknown type
2,823.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 23,959.14 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,000 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/23/2026, 11:01:54 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/23/2026, 11:00:54 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
23,959.14 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/23/2026, 11:02:54 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:59:54 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/23/2026, 11:03:54 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:58:54 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
64.36 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/23/2026, 11:04:54 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:57:54 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
8,510.59 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 11:02:40 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
8,200.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 11:02:40 P.M.
From: 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0010005ab63e479d90377b04d917b74d21759284fdb099638e4b468157be9e66
4,424.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 11:02:40 P.M.
From: 0x0048174911Afdd1FC89673bE5456606418a2748e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003700599450fd5cefd7c06eb7ae65d6f64ac4f9f1906bfff7c0a260138c5338
8,510.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 11:02:40 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00200030986b796edfbb3c181478979a142a8ec3eb65769f2828c412e8796271
2,823.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 11:02:40 P.M.
From: 0x0016F5bDeF26D68eF1DD175F444Cd5378FE05F8C
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0059000f7e0d10b7823971ddbc6bb999bf4a3bc8030b00a52c1528a0308f0c29
321.19 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 11:02:27 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0011004261d6f211f4639f2a55ac88cfd6738cc3fede9f65dae30bbabfd75a6a
