Spike bucket
07/23/2026, 10:12:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/23/2026, 10:12:00 P.M. to 07/23/2026, 10:13:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
4% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 30
Unexplained QUAI: 722.03
Explained QI: 383.14
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
53
Observable rows
4
7.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
67
Asset volume
752.03 QUAI
383.14 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 752 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/23/2026, 10:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (96% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (4%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
383.15 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
383.15 QI across 1 visible row
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
Net sender
Unknown type
30 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
30 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
3 repeated flows • 30 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
20 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:11:54 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:10:54 P.M.
+1 min
53 tx
752.03 QUAI • 67 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:12:55 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:09:54 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate52 tx
4,306.26 QUAI • 64 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:13:55 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:08:54 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
2 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:14:54 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:07:54 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
383.14 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 10:12:03 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 10:12:58 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x005d0020b6d47fdab623d1b3704af17098f2681a9a0fe1980c4ad87634c03b48
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 10:12:30 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0057007a806a599783f6ee9ec0e00ceccf01bce8d4010f9f2fb5aa2b0227054c
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 10:12:13 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x002f0033b75d50ea4d6b8f9fcfdf67a226ee00deace39240624e91e3296c3fdd
383.14 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 10:12:03 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006000212e9f33372218da1b318ba84a89673eeaa55b8245f19566167a8d85f6