Spike bucket
07/23/2026, 7:18:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/23/2026, 7:18:00 P.M. to 07/23/2026, 7:19:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,011.36
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
10,013.06 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 10013 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/23/2026, 7:18:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
19,998.31 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002Bb64F385Cc59335C8d80726594238dd36BF86
Net sender
Unknown type
9,998.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
Net sender
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0008090359D0B4b020169e29Ad29a64F65095b96
Net receiver
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
2,210.71 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/23/2026, 7:17:53 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/23/2026, 7:16:53 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
10,013.06 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/23/2026, 7:18:53 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
10,000 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/23/2026, 7:15:53 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
9,998.31 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/23/2026, 7:19:53 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/23/2026, 7:14:53 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/23/2026, 7:20:53 P.M.
-4 min
41 tx
2,577.02 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/23/2026, 7:13:54 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 7:18:28 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
9,998.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 7:18:53 P.M.
From: 0x002Bb64F385Cc59335C8d80726594238dd36BF86
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x0000006f2e1aa2abaa39ec88e51d86d201f9485ee38fa5805ce1d7ee307d03fe
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 7:18:37 P.M.
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x0008090359D0B4b020169e29Ad29a64F65095b96
Tx: 0x00120065fb178cf0cff468ffa09035e44f8e4073d9c3f813cf23edbe28f4ca62
10,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 7:18:28 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Tx: 0x006c004e002f874e86acc1ec88867c38e807750bd4e4c95b44cafbf165bc6c69
3.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 7:18:04 P.M.
From: 0x006de603b1d5c1c9d0042B566d2918DE2becF53B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0014005193f6b36540b89834dc76b65c44c99f7a4541ae833cbb3ed88637391d