Spike bucket
07/23/2026, 6:41:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/23/2026, 6:41:00 P.M. to 07/23/2026, 6:42:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
46% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,124.72
Unexplained QUAI: 2,523.21
Explained QI: 390.58
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
3.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
4,647.93 QUAI
390.58 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003b4Bc4Ec5ADE7673dba21e99A8F5AC2ecCD798 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 4648 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003b4Bc4Ec5ADE7673dba21e99A8F5AC2ecCD798 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/23/2026, 6:41:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (54% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (46%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003b4Bc4Ec5ADE7673dba21e99A8F5AC2ecCD798
Net sender
Unknown type
2,114.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,114.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
390.59 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
390.59 QI across 1 visible row
0x003aC0D2e6d237E6CC50437C7a5D414BaD31a0ed
Net sender
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,114.72 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1.34 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/23/2026, 6:40:53 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/23/2026, 6:39:53 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
4,647.93 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/23/2026, 6:41:53 P.M.
-2 min
8 tx
41.74 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/23/2026, 6:38:53 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/23/2026, 6:42:53 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate4 tx
7,282.56 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/23/2026, 6:37:53 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/23/2026, 6:43:53 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/23/2026, 6:36:53 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,114.72 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 6:41:09 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003b4Bc4Ec5ADE7673dba21e99A8F5AC2ecCD798
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
390.58 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 6:41:24 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004e00506a33451fbf743de0da88529809e2d8d727afdb75f81a69e2a7ba8486
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 6:41:22 P.M.
From: 0x003aC0D2e6d237E6CC50437C7a5D414BaD31a0ed
To: 0x003B9867Fe5D5Ea7Db8222E6d997a333Efd63DB6
Tx: 0x0055002c693e0c0b94799b9c38155bdbe9d271036fd292e7b1e74bc59faf962e
2,114.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 6:41:09 P.M.
From: 0x003b4Bc4Ec5ADE7673dba21e99A8F5AC2ecCD798
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006c0014f1efc3c6944f96c5e1382e90021f240fd9bbf9ef20588647c0903cd6