Spike bucket
07/23/2026, 2:47:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/23/2026, 2:47:00 P.M. to 07/23/2026, 2:48:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,494.12
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 350.23
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 37% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
3,532.89 QUAI
350.23 QI
Avg confidence
67.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3533 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/23/2026, 2:47:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,171.04 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef
Net sender
Unknown type
1,648.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d9e4F409D06A0e67F754FC49f63753B8648D7
Net sender
Unknown type
1,522.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003dCb1C71813EAf7E5590Efc597667fC5A8F693
Net sender
Unknown type
910 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007d6EFD51782aAaF15FE858bF9327358f8FB855
Net receiver
Unknown type
910 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,171.04 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,648.65 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:46:34 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:45:34 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
3,532.89 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:47:34 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:44:34 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate5 tx
30,913.15 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:48:34 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
1,523.5 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:43:34 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:49:34 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:42:34 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,648.1 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:47:23 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
910 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:47:48 P.M.
From: 0x003dCb1C71813EAf7E5590Efc597667fC5A8F693
To: 0x007d6EFD51782aAaF15FE858bF9327358f8FB855
Tx: 0x004f003e66061bc9d63c5a55d5bc21c78d103db43f3d3ab8bcc1d1d93f63a69b
51.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:47:46 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x00420C47251CBa5Cbe2506763F64b706a13daF50
Tx: 0x006a007656aa63aac283f27e48692a28d55cd758031266945f75b80099a5a2ed
350.23 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:47:39 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000000420fc22dde4ee34990cde114922eb7b361f917962cc228510eccce03e9
1,522.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:47:23 P.M.
From: 0x004d9e4F409D06A0e67F754FC49f63753B8648D7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0062006e16e198834b042d9c3946c0ec5412ed87dc182340f77b5f83e9c97f93
1,648.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:47:23 P.M.
From: 0x0050219A153A9936dae5D0B0bacf8e3BD31a05Ef
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000500681e19948e9b9950bb3b9f1776ea2a44826c16c3c2dbefcd1cc162ce6e
361.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:47:23 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x00760071beba7da067ea1d912acf1fd4f590a16532b8bc20d9c4d33fb9281679