Spike bucket
07/23/2026, 12:31:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/23/2026, 12:31:00 P.M. to 07/23/2026, 12:32:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
24% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 301.44
Unexplained QUAI: 930.35
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 313.3
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 71% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
1.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
1,231.79 QUAI
313.3 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0064200Ddaa6ddc66C904d9E894266DA2Dbd0447 • 0x00718a061114500Ce4Cd9B3431a1A92261D7ABD1.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1232 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0064200Ddaa6ddc66C904d9E894266DA2Dbd0447 • 0x00718a061114500Ce4Cd9B3431a1A92261D7ABD1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/23/2026, 12:31:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (76% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (24%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0064200Ddaa6ddc66C904d9E894266DA2Dbd0447
Net sender
Unknown type
213 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00718a061114500Ce4Cd9B3431a1A92261D7ABD1
Net receiver
Unknown type
213 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
Net sender
Unknown type
88.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0078E3BE85057372BCD67BcD9473D09c6C71099A
Net receiver
Unknown type
88.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,381.37 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:30:34 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
942.65 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:29:34 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
1,231.79 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:31:34 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
2,116.12 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:28:34 P.M.
+2 min
8 tx
7,072.79 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:32:34 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
5,348.75 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:27:34 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate3 tx
15,001 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:33:34 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
890.62 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:26:34 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
213 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:31:52 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0064200Ddaa6ddc66C904d9E894266DA2Dbd0447
To: 0x00718a061114500Ce4Cd9B3431a1A92261D7ABD1
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
213 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:31:52 P.M.
From: 0x0064200Ddaa6ddc66C904d9E894266DA2Dbd0447
To: 0x00718a061114500Ce4Cd9B3431a1A92261D7ABD1
Tx: 0x001900027836d875b120513abd35e567ce4b5a18726f67057ec23337c060791e
88.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:31:52 P.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x0078E3BE85057372BCD67BcD9473D09c6C71099A
Tx: 0x0022003f75530c1e063a69d5fedd52c11d3af9caf5d6c39de4d33771dce1448c