Spike bucket
07/23/2026, 12:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/23/2026, 12:05:00 P.M. to 07/23/2026, 12:06:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
54% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,766.49
Unexplained QUAI: 7,371.24
Explained QI: 373.04
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
5.4x above local average
87x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
3
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
16,137.73 QUAI
373.04 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004d39b85017F53e6051751d7B44308F7ABEc639 • 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 16138 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004d39b85017F53e6051751d7B44308F7ABEc639 • 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/23/2026, 12:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (46% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (54%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004d39b85017F53e6051751d7B44308F7ABEc639
Net sender
Unknown type
8,552.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,552.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
373.04 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
373.04 QI across 1 visible row
0x0058bdBFBC7d394EeDcD397F7d0d89FC746d1C1e
Net sender
Unknown type
214 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:04:34 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
185 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:03:34 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
16,137.73 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:05:34 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
10 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:02:34 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
417 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:06:34 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
2,404.7 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:01:34 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
1,722.29 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:07:34 P.M.
-4 min
5 tx
2,923.9 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:00:34 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
8,552.49 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:05:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004d39b85017F53e6051751d7B44308F7ABEc639
To: 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
214 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:05:40 P.M.
From: 0x0058bdBFBC7d394EeDcD397F7d0d89FC746d1C1e
To: 0x00718a061114500Ce4Cd9B3431a1A92261D7ABD1
Tx: 0x002a000badafaa2f5ccd92a7d22c52ee60d1b02b725cec26adaa46faa4b3b404
373.04 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:05:14 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00280028e8098424726a2f7a44a6bf27e448596ad0a8c436adcc06c5ee41fd7d
8,552.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:05:00 P.M.
From: 0x004d39b85017F53e6051751d7B44308F7ABEc639
To: 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da
Tx: 0x007c0013cb76e9f3b26afa819de4359ae3d0e34a873308719f19bab296a90c6d