Spike bucket
07/23/2026, 12:00:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/23/2026, 12:00:00 P.M. to 07/23/2026, 12:01:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,616.09
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
8.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
2,923.9 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962 • 0x0057bc70fb8909246198bAd02F94E0d009e86Df3.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2924 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962 • 0x0057bc70fb8909246198bAd02F94E0d009e86Df3.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/23/2026, 12:00:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
Net sender
Unknown type
2,511.57 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0057bc70fb8909246198bAd02F94E0d009e86Df3
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,048.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
1,935.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,935.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0058aA9841f4909901ff04c8af68790d70041440
Net receiver
Unknown type
267.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
2,244.38 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/23/2026, 11:59:34 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
356.26 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/23/2026, 11:58:34 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
2,923.9 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:00:34 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
1,246.89 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/23/2026, 11:57:34 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
2,404.7 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:01:34 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate8 tx
46,980.53 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/23/2026, 11:56:34 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
10 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:02:34 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
2,267.54 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/23/2026, 11:55:34 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,048.44 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:00:46 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x0057bc70fb8909246198bAd02F94E0d009e86Df3
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
2,048.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:00:46 P.M.
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x0057bc70fb8909246198bAd02F94E0d009e86Df3
Tx: 0x0061007a413f6aa02e2e74875dc5c9e0309035668220418083e6b00d660140c5
169.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:00:29 P.M.
From: 0x002E555d44Cfdb0b919F51b17E75A18A32A6E0dc
To: 0x00296B3C2c0ba765Ff2863CC9a509cd0d92223A9
Tx: 0x0047003f8033b1038bb4512f975429666dfaf009d3c52340e6470c6518e1c4c8
1,935.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:00:29 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
Tx: 0x004e006e86e1d3f83216c57fbe9ca8fb8823377340f8f7dfa4d671f960c2877f
267.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:00:29 P.M.
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x0058aA9841f4909901ff04c8af68790d70041440
Tx: 0x0010000b258fcca182789ae72e430bc72ed085b38e7bdf1f2285fe986a92c56f
195.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:00:04 P.M.
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x005f14e44DB6D920c39A9316baBbA86a10b0808f
Tx: 0x00760047a8e376a9620c54f07206cdf9818b0bcbf7c3e5381ea3ae3d1bf90834
