Spike bucket
07/23/2026, 11:59:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/23/2026, 11:59:00 A.M. to 07/23/2026, 12:00:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
37% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 819.38
Unexplained QUAI: 1,425
Explained QI: 370.56
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
1.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
2,244.38 QUAI
370.56 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962 • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2244 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962 • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/23/2026, 11:59:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (63% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (37%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
Net sender
Unknown type
819.38 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
370.56 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
370.56 QI across 1 visible row
0x00055fB439c515858CC20983c73e0B184fD51929
Net receiver
Unknown type
356.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004025E4176AfeA860D7404f960A8b4B5662243f
Net receiver
Unknown type
285 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
356.26 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/23/2026, 11:58:34 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
1,246.89 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/23/2026, 11:57:34 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
2,244.38 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/23/2026, 11:59:34 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate8 tx
46,980.53 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/23/2026, 11:56:34 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
2,923.9 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:00:34 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
2,267.54 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/23/2026, 11:55:34 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
2,404.7 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:01:34 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
2,137.5 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/23/2026, 11:54:34 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
370.56 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 11:59:28 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
356.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 11:59:47 A.M.
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x00055fB439c515858CC20983c73e0B184fD51929
Tx: 0x00510035cdfae5db15f17d5d6e4fd4c1e2f5c440cd1b6e8ff129078b044ee5ca
370.56 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 11:59:28 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006f00441f5d4440daad6e9eafd27c9ef7e189c9acb7a28d69b2d25797083c80
285 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 11:59:25 A.M.
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x004025E4176AfeA860D7404f960A8b4B5662243f
Tx: 0x0048007cb5b09625a8b4dfa2270370a33c588c53479eb3447d2f685bd8f56c14
178.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 11:59:07 A.M.
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x0006a33a5873494cD4636875604909e3EEC1Dcc7
Tx: 0x003600557a82e5c959e6fccc7146a765eb5d0ee1720e231cd28150c8e3d57878
