Spike bucket
07/23/2026, 11:55:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/23/2026, 11:55:00 A.M. to 07/23/2026, 11:56:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 44,641.25
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
2,267.54 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2268 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/23/2026, 11:55:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
42,370.14 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
14,999.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00423Cd3e536DB52995c764D6Ced35F949DAFE84
Net sender
Unknown type
7,371.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
Net sender
Unknown type
2,271.11 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 42,370.14 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
2,137.5 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/23/2026, 11:54:34 A.M.
-1 min
10 tx
23,450.94 QUAI • 30 addresses
07/23/2026, 11:54:09 A.M.
-1 min
10 tx
23,450.94 QUAI • 30 addresses
07/23/2026, 11:54:11 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
356.25 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/23/2026, 11:54:17 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
2,267.54 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/23/2026, 11:55:34 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate8 tx
46,980.53 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/23/2026, 11:56:34 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
1,246.89 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/23/2026, 11:57:34 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/23/2026, 11:50:34 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.68 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 11:55:50 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
19,998.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 11:55:50 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003b006394c06811b238f1bf99cdeaaef21c931cc1f5725f70d10f9a39bbac03
14,999.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 11:55:50 A.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00640068b928050dc59aa091602bb7c06dce0a473e54afd09d8ecd164423dffb
7,371.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 11:55:50 A.M.
From: 0x00423Cd3e536DB52995c764D6Ced35F949DAFE84
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0059000589a36db4ba0851b85b6fb62088a8bbfa61c16c72f5f73a466333bc4f
890.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 11:55:50 A.M.
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x002388BA52cC46F40339939F1d814070aaD9AEAE
Tx: 0x002300446ec0aaaae01fe7461b08b815a16af425911e65a56e46733172aa9c2a
178.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 11:55:27 A.M.
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x005C4E2281b600eD3DAbfD8e77Bd34793900D366
Tx: 0x004300688480d1bac4413099120adb1a55bfa1d92d6e2221c2bfbfb06e22c191
178.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 11:55:13 A.M.
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x00495FE85D36d000F17004ffd0D00F53C5551cBd
Tx: 0x00000039c119d09924dd22c5aaaedd734ab5af92058cf66f9453f08801a95546
1,024.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 11:55:03 A.M.
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x0017D2084dAf4743B46d8Bf050414bC0954E2f4d
Tx: 0x0041004db3257174c6f64e861c83a284c1f0d57446620d2b36f68d9ace5be866