Spike bucket
07/23/2026, 10:25:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/23/2026, 10:25:00 A.M. to 07/23/2026, 10:26:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12,423.08
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 68% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da.
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6 -> 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/23/2026, 10:25:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
12,417.73 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da
Net sender
Unknown type
8,482.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00423Cd3e536DB52995c764D6Ced35F949DAFE84
Net sender
Unknown type
3,935.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
Net sender
Unknown type
5.35 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Net receiver
Unknown type
4.01 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6 → 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
3 repeated flows • 4.01 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 12,417.73 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:24:34 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:23:33 A.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:25:33 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:22:34 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate7 tx
12,424.42 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:26:34 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:21:34 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1,507.97 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:27:34 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:20:33 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
8,482.07 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 10:25:41 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 10:25:44 A.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x00600032f777a2964d951c624409b5af4d8763f232f33cae246dcffe7b94464b
3,935.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 10:25:41 A.M.
From: 0x00423Cd3e536DB52995c764D6Ced35F949DAFE84
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007c00682cfd3384f9dd6396b9ddf0b73496a5170e1125e80f708b4477fde6f6
8,482.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 10:25:41 A.M.
From: 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00620071ebf2042a0571696376d0b2bd001e9cbcaa0d7832fb2971d0f81e73f6
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 10:25:41 A.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x003a004d1f51b7dc4555434d63b4288a4759fdf86bc9899740ed8c8d92bcbe0b
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 10:25:41 A.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x00330021f975704cedbecf7abdcf228d8301a252cdeecb64e7a035c4249665c0
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 10:25:41 A.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x006751Bec530bbeDc67aCA74911396c6cA8C6bd3
Tx: 0x0052005707f55a9e8cb3ca35b699cdc54515171db12792a4bfa89fdd24df5e86