Spike bucket
07/23/2026, 10:18:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/23/2026, 10:18:00 A.M. to 07/23/2026, 10:19:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15,433.99
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
2.6x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
6,951.51 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004d39b85017F53e6051751d7B44308F7ABEc639 • 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 6952 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004d39b85017F53e6051751d7B44308F7ABEc639 • 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/23/2026, 10:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004d39b85017F53e6051751d7B44308F7ABEc639
Net sender
Unknown type
8,482.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,482.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
3,936.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00423Cd3e536DB52995c764D6Ced35F949DAFE84
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,936.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000e623fE6AB9045e188C52a51046cE9D08e1B07
Net sender
Unknown type
3,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 3,936.08 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
509.8 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:17:34 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:16:33 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
6,951.51 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:18:34 A.M.
-2 min
14 tx
3,535.28 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:15:34 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate1 tx
8,482.48 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:19:33 A.M.
-3 min
50 tx
2,293.49 QUAI • 59 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:14:34 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:20:33 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/23/2026, 10:13:33 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
8,482.48 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 10:18:53 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004d39b85017F53e6051751d7B44308F7ABEc639
To: 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
8,482.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 10:18:53 A.M.
From: 0x004d39b85017F53e6051751d7B44308F7ABEc639
To: 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da
Tx: 0x0004000cdd8085e6a8a12c6f884ad0284ab65c4da59cb04e2953ada93b1be47e
3,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 10:18:05 A.M.
From: 0x000e623fE6AB9045e188C52a51046cE9D08e1B07
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001a00071690820e064b75bc90f6e1ec20a3a690906e20b2e89880eb458e9c66
5.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 10:18:05 A.M.
From: 0x0038797E44cCBbE9D76347DC75A71448386543B6
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000f00096ae882e64bde0e40ab73ab33868a639a189d871601522bff286ea246
4.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 10:18:05 A.M.
From: 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004b0055b1dc4480a62626f9ed31792d8fbb4f79f39a5e101d65cbc6af13497b
5.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 10:18:05 A.M.
From: 0x005d21cF46a3a97FeDc9324E7A41fB5b5fe48274
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007d0043b110c335e1f20ab0c5e247cf8a2c370da1680b22b7f7af17e6eb6c7e
3,936.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 10:18:05 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00423Cd3e536DB52995c764D6Ced35F949DAFE84
Tx: 0x003200443e3c725b23e79e154fdf11424ed3a6dabf27f4834f903716264f2824