Spike bucket
07/23/2026, 8:20:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/23/2026, 8:20:00 A.M. to 07/23/2026, 8:21:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 846.82
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
172x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
846.82 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 847 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/23/2026, 8:20:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
846.82 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
Net sender
Unknown type
420.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00307ce5b07B2776A657c069e17b9bB5a6b09B97
Net sender
Unknown type
199.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Net sender
Unknown type
126.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0006B816B358B40b4841917693EB5A37f0175ddB
Net sender
Unknown type
100.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 846.82 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
100 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/23/2026, 8:19:33 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
4.93 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/23/2026, 8:18:33 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
846.82 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/23/2026, 8:20:33 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate2 tx
15,051.52 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/23/2026, 8:17:33 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/23/2026, 8:21:33 A.M.
-3 min
14 tx
1,863.64 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/23/2026, 8:16:33 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
6,934.09 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/23/2026, 8:22:33 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/23/2026, 8:15:33 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
420.36 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 8:20:23 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
100.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 8:20:23 A.M.
From: 0x0006B816B358B40b4841917693EB5A37f0175ddB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00730010dfa867d84a63d0147bfd349d932584222675668dc96ccb461f76610f
420.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 8:20:23 A.M.
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d00296f2a51c5a3b07927e1b69c5ab3cb4d99850db6b6d7390bd06300ce1e
199.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 8:20:23 A.M.
From: 0x00307ce5b07B2776A657c069e17b9bB5a6b09B97
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a003de48be7b9bc2fd5ea590eee50179ef7c922de5d4c214c10c2190ee4e3
126.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 8:20:23 A.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0035003f1195b9a40e3da00b3e275daa87aea7d742c3e4b76cb6accbd2728cac