Spike bucket
07/23/2026, 6:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/23/2026, 6:14:00 A.M. to 07/23/2026, 6:15:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
43% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,301.99
Unexplained QUAI: 3,060.82
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
1.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
59
Observable rows
9
15.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
70
Asset volume
5,362.81 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 5363 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/23/2026, 6:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (57% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (43%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,301.99 QUAI across 9 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
1,068.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003BcE7f41B346e0edfceFb89bd00FAf26bDd13E
Net sender
Unknown type
200.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003F69C21C7bB382E5d63a468D47e25e9C297793
Net sender
Unknown type
191.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0067286d699EfE0d239c205a594eA040f06114Aa
Net sender
Unknown type
188.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,301.99 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/23/2026, 6:13:32 A.M.
-1 min
52 tx
3,400.22 QUAI • 64 addresses
07/23/2026, 6:12:33 A.M.
+1 min
59 tx
5,362.81 QUAI • 70 addresses
07/23/2026, 6:14:33 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/23/2026, 6:11:32 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate1 tx
19,999.1 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/23/2026, 6:15:32 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/23/2026, 6:10:32 A.M.
+3 min
15 tx
1,850.24 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/23/2026, 6:16:32 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/23/2026, 6:09:32 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,068.41 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 6:14:19 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
191.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 6:14:19 A.M.
From: 0x003F69C21C7bB382E5d63a468D47e25e9C297793
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003e003195fb9bd02d37cc7d1dee1ccdbedf8146ed26e08c87ec2a3de44649cd
124.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 6:14:19 A.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0029002d1b8b1e21bd0e42112fdeb2838d31884bdedfcead2b228c1518973e9b
1,068.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 6:14:19 A.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00290072b3d8f8545076f6c56db41ddc326c427dec433433e4bdbb9d75a19974
137.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 6:14:19 A.M.
From: 0x004892aD449BebE4617CCAA19E4e66111BC9ea23
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00440034d094c73b7b46ea936d3d130adbbe1cf50e3156c36f8d5965fe27108e
118.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 6:14:19 A.M.
From: 0x0005EF22Dff611f376446762c42A72565b9550D2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002f000accdb339279be20812193526735c22c65f8bbd3634c934728bad3bde1
106.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 6:14:19 A.M.
From: 0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d002f6ff492d2630ad3c056513825f3bbfc1e8fd86edf597d49ba66449050
200.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 6:14:19 A.M.
From: 0x003BcE7f41B346e0edfceFb89bd00FAf26bDd13E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005d00241a1a313527e49f7378b95679c8a160812522c61c736480b037a605e9
188.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 6:14:19 A.M.
From: 0x0067286d699EfE0d239c205a594eA040f06114Aa
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b005005f27236f89e93519c5a5b03605e8c7d471a24a06969d634dba737cc
164.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 6:14:19 A.M.
From: 0x0041875F0A949D73F63A1755c97c5993FA7a0A11
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002b0071876fb25deb7178682c1b9b5abcfd5c1d45d517100370ee4e48f4d730