Spike bucket
07/23/2026, 5:56:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/23/2026, 5:56:00 A.M. to 07/23/2026, 5:57:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 40,241.1
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
4.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
20,242.01 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 20242 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/23/2026, 5:56:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,242.01 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
14,999.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
5,038.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,242.01 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/23/2026, 5:55:32 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/23/2026, 5:54:32 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
20,242.01 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/23/2026, 5:56:32 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/23/2026, 5:53:32 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
19,999.1 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/23/2026, 5:57:32 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/23/2026, 5:52:32 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/23/2026, 5:58:32 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
2.95 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/23/2026, 5:51:32 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.1 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 5:56:38 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
19,999.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 5:56:38 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x007300708b7c7e53838cc2c519233545b7553199cee4ad61a7bac4c0a8e60f55
5,038.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 5:56:27 A.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005000636e7e5f35f08c6ad95036fc4b66dbc110fa3eb1a66658a40f5643f5cc
14,999.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 5:56:27 A.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0068003ab433ffbc97b3a810748a2dd15c4154e7e896859090d857f0c2bc95c8
203.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 5:56:27 A.M.
From: 0x005784f7A9D9f696bd171322B15fB05653942fD8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d007c98e8dd44da216edf09485c828c915caf21ccb2eada9f74276a325973