Spike bucket
07/23/2026, 5:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/23/2026, 5:38:00 A.M. to 07/23/2026, 5:39:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 43,997.29
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
4.7x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
35,064.29 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 35064 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/23/2026, 5:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
34,998.56 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
14,999.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net sender
Unknown type
8,933 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006626F94fC3f8594687334f1207b2B96C7B9079
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,933 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 34,998.56 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/23/2026, 5:37:32 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/23/2026, 5:36:32 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate9 tx
35,064.29 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/23/2026, 5:38:32 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/23/2026, 5:35:32 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
8,933 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/23/2026, 5:39:32 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/23/2026, 5:34:32 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/23/2026, 5:40:32 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
15,321.43 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/23/2026, 5:33:32 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.83 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 5:38:19 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
8,933 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 5:38:39 A.M.
From: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
To: 0x006626F94fC3f8594687334f1207b2B96C7B9079
Tx: 0x002800013f722c1542a9800020b0a4d70670d1fd4085c2f8a3ecc521a1d40a5c
14,999.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 5:38:19 A.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00180066b7a6a86f42d667f750638d9b59edfa3bcfff2ff8cda485995c4d62b2
19,998.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 5:38:19 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0039006aec2b41587ca3c0d2ce7902ee54f4fd857d9ca42ce6d6e3792ef5b016
7.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 5:38:19 A.M.
From: 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00440021085fdbcb00bb8de15db3b81e43e2570688b9d4aabe2c95473fc73cc5
12.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 5:38:19 A.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00010070f735448b8d2d927af6b26db5c4db8cc980ea410ad0675e6c9fb41803
11.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 5:38:19 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0017005339e89a31be333f0db94d4df6778143ba7b99f2a3c00970824e118ecc
11.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 5:38:19 A.M.
From: 0x00640f915Ad4fd45d88CF25C77E7cF9F121dbDFd
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003000058ee22c98769c63fdf6c112fb9207e382e2c31ddfa6bb20368ff5f578
7.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 5:38:19 A.M.
From: 0x006de603b1d5c1c9d0042B566d2918DE2becF53B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0012005dfbd354853825001615fd39b6288fbee5dac874c1f1205e06d6f51c35
8.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 5:38:19 A.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0015000a9cfaa3112b4336f555cecce7653763a93f4c0bf87beb19f7a348a281
6.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 5:38:19 A.M.
From: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006d00612e69e55a560b731917dbc016c1ec60b44a29a4051364a38dfbfd5936