Spike bucket
07/23/2026, 3:57:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/23/2026, 3:57:00 A.M. to 07/23/2026, 3:58:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 27.5
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
13.3 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00499d1b1d2EDf2cE1b5226172f0CE8e973a8B3f • 0x0066473798AFf52fbBc902157D3DD532b9Cc686E.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 13 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00499d1b1d2EDf2cE1b5226172f0CE8e973a8B3f • 0x0066473798AFf52fbBc902157D3DD532b9Cc686E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/23/2026, 3:57:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00499d1b1d2EDf2cE1b5226172f0CE8e973a8B3f
Net receiver
Unknown type
27.5 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0066473798AFf52fbBc902157D3DD532b9Cc686E
Net sender
Unknown type
14.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00649Ddc2E9Fb931247b16D04ce96b695f6BF8B0
Net sender
Unknown type
13.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
10.5 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/23/2026, 3:56:34 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
12 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/23/2026, 3:55:34 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
13.3 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/23/2026, 3:57:34 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
2.62 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/23/2026, 3:54:34 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
14.2 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/23/2026, 3:58:34 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/23/2026, 3:53:34 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate3 tx
3,132 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/23/2026, 3:59:34 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/23/2026, 3:52:34 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
14.2 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 3:57:50 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0066473798AFf52fbBc902157D3DD532b9Cc686E
To: 0x00499d1b1d2EDf2cE1b5226172f0CE8e973a8B3f
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
14.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 3:57:50 A.M.
From: 0x0066473798AFf52fbBc902157D3DD532b9Cc686E
To: 0x00499d1b1d2EDf2cE1b5226172f0CE8e973a8B3f
Tx: 0x0039006074f104c20997b835388bd86183f3204e0a773b6aba237197a539ea6c
13.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 3:57:04 A.M.
From: 0x00649Ddc2E9Fb931247b16D04ce96b695f6BF8B0
To: 0x00499d1b1d2EDf2cE1b5226172f0CE8e973a8B3f
Tx: 0x006c001e01e8792179ae4e709e4da1e3dba945325776d9a087fb17e9ead0e82e