Spike bucket
07/23/2026, 3:50:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/23/2026, 3:50:00 A.M. to 07/23/2026, 3:51:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 35,199.27
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
4.0x above local average
2.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
35,199.27 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 35199 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/23/2026, 3:50:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
35,198.27 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
14,999.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007800185B6200d70B8AEDD54A883AE1B2864b91
Net sender
Unknown type
199.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0066473798AFf52fbBc902157D3DD532b9Cc686E
Net sender
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 35,198.27 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
1 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/23/2026, 3:49:34 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
15,300.05 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/23/2026, 3:48:34 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
35,199.27 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/23/2026, 3:50:34 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
200 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/23/2026, 3:47:34 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/23/2026, 3:51:34 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/23/2026, 3:46:34 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/23/2026, 3:52:34 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
19,999.07 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/23/2026, 3:45:34 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.81 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 3:50:32 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
199.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 3:50:32 A.M.
From: 0x007800185B6200d70B8AEDD54A883AE1B2864b91
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0063003b52ec8c9a4861dc84ce059215f477b296495c95427f66d6a09608d4b5
14,999.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 3:50:32 A.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d0063f3559a5dcfe054983498d4a57904db1b5a78bcd815fb683b3979c7d4
19,998.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 3:50:32 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004c0002fd334f6ca5ac7b24e53242c5836fcfa4df0e886872621c1b10504cf2
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 3:50:32 A.M.
From: 0x0066473798AFf52fbBc902157D3DD532b9Cc686E
To: 0x00649Ddc2E9Fb931247b16D04ce96b695f6BF8B0
Tx: 0x001d0062f8474ff994505fe81f725e103dc78a5bf825c3f49d6400c99d9ac3c9