Spike bucket
07/23/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/23/2026, 2:45:00 A.M. to 07/23/2026, 2:46:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 35,829.65
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
2.3x previous minute
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
9,148.53 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 9149 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/23/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
Net sender
Unknown type
9,415.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,415.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,308.19 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
9,148.53 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:45:07 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
34,661.69 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:46:06 A.M.
-2 min
7 tx
3,898.06 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:43:07 A.M.
+2 min
10 tx
25,573.05 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:47:06 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
4,097.5 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:42:08 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate29 tx
46,028.29 QUAI • 41 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:48:07 A.M.
+4 min
16 tx
24,912.82 QUAI • 27 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:49:07 A.M.
+5 min
18 tx
9,795.29 QUAI • 29 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:50:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.06 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:45:33 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
160.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:45:59 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00627Ca48Eb5122B274badc01b1be67E9bde7f1b
Tx: 0x003e00070342b08ccf653bc353cc9129689c2648236d660f2188d83270057abf
731.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:45:59 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00566d3A7733Bca76aa6A7A4648406DcCe35d7D1
Tx: 0x0047004e8abf868e0f12d2c8c2b09210a9f006e9cdf7dd294d54531b3d3ca30b
2,332.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:45:53 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
Tx: 0x005c00658c64de409c3347648b27749daa255d22c37895ded22505b39493bda6
747.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:45:53 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0056086D6bA66331dba675592e3BEF3E91B4948a
Tx: 0x00450005ac4aac8faa19e7f7eee132d29abcc0dbeebcede8a8c2d033acdd0cce
544.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:45:33 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0061602a3dF8B527a69bc84bF41dA6610a8DC044
Tx: 0x006e007d307218cfca6fdbbc6bd92aeb2183fb95b3ff20cf9731774e84d0c071
731.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:45:33 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0055EeF1DcFad9BAe71F4e24a386219D0d3E948f
Tx: 0x0035006f166de8a0d3a1baee64604ba2eed7e53d97f8fcaf04de46606970a5a3
19,999.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:45:33 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x004d007c87f101d69e2056c0ed87d6b2d8165792302d4b06223c5997a88c88f4
9,415.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:45:33 A.M.
From: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x00550023a75a85a4ba2a8012eb950c5334567ae3832a8ae5e75428026a92a12f
69.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:45:05 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00611e2cF57B087bAccf7A12498119D49f28FDd6
Tx: 0x006e002e3815ceb021c989b5ab608e062a8080e5fe6f505a865f3be8ba3983a0
1,098.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:45:05 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0054d52a30f89cB614d18B7E7cf450D0fFdBB340
Tx: 0x0031004a38f57ed714508835eb74cb8bfeca76064b16327ee95b77b45627d2b6