Spike bucket
07/23/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/23/2026, 2:40:00 A.M. to 07/23/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13,692.14
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
2.0x previous minute
3.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
13,692.14 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 13692 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/23/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
10,268.49 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,416.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
3,174.07 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00571a335608ad8e990a95F309DF1F0e373F10d6
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,465.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
Net receiver
Unknown type
797.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
18 tx
6,752.96 QUAI • 29 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:39:07 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate33 tx
48,927.39 QUAI • 43 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:38:08 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
4,097.5 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:42:08 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
4,297.72 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:37:06 A.M.
+3 min
7 tx
3,898.06 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:43:07 A.M.
-4 min
10 tx
13,177.26 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:36:07 A.M.
-5 min
7 tx
14,997.49 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:35:07 A.M.
+5 min
9 tx
9,148.53 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:45:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,416.16 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:40:36 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
502.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:40:56 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00573361C17f12af330847A6eb72dDB173bc2a30
Tx: 0x003f0071773068c0c7cfe93a011bed87c072431ab9e8a608bf33bb08e3b1ff46
55.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:40:56 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004d6A8315C2D567fe944979a836F363a159A547
Tx: 0x004800644fb1eef4b066dbae58e29f1767ee0c3170b5b05e71c887faf22b49b6
2,465.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:40:36 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00571a335608ad8e990a95F309DF1F0e373F10d6
Tx: 0x000b001feb9c08b9cf77ff0deb81ef8e2e2c0151dce1e90764845036ddb3795e
9,416.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:40:36 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
Tx: 0x0074003363bf7eb9e00fab23c6424f0f21b304cdf51a248803b70a2a721087ad
29.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:40:36 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007f54d4bf9c0a3e16A10C60ef3fB8E6CC76b4c4
Tx: 0x001d004347ebfae1b1b9c120e4c2070d2a546f53362046f6287dee70074e33e8
219.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:40:22 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007c36aFFd5462Bd7aA58D497830Ff9Ed86f5656
Tx: 0x001a007909b6f2c6edfd7f849a66dc129c8c317239c1462bab090be2afddb96f
206.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:40:22 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0055d86A564A4B4E159540cC0AA6EdfD132243A9
Tx: 0x003b00291e85ef1071533bee9ffd8a8b0ad3bb83edc28c7d6571299b3196a902
797.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:40:22 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
Tx: 0x006e0047cf4a5fd3d41cc0e414372744333b8f610536accb1f57d0959d80697e
