Spike bucket
07/23/2026, 2:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/23/2026, 2:38:00 A.M. to 07/23/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
8% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,810.33
Unexplained QUAI: 45,117.06
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 40% of explained volume
Relative context
3.5x above local average
11x previous minute
7.2x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
33
Observable rows
7
21.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
43
Asset volume
48,927.39 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0048f9049edD6816A471BC46782eF5fC2E6e578F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 48927 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0048f9049edD6816A471BC46782eF5fC2E6e578F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/23/2026, 2:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (92% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (8%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,862.18 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0048f9049edD6816A471BC46782eF5fC2E6e578F
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,528.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00049a00891BDcD33305a535A34051F1aCcE5b10
Net sender
Unknown type
1,121.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,121.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
827.09 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate33 tx
48,927.39 QUAI • 43 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:38:08 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
4,297.72 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:37:06 A.M.
+1 min
18 tx
6,752.96 QUAI • 29 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:39:07 A.M.
-2 min
10 tx
13,177.26 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:36:07 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
14,997.49 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:35:07 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
791.7 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:34:06 A.M.
+4 min
7 tx
4,097.5 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:42:08 A.M.
-5 min
7 tx
19,463.04 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/23/2026, 2:33:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,528.97 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:38:04 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0048f9049edD6816A471BC46782eF5fC2E6e578F
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
123.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:38:49 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004A8D7b3349bf6b2ccf0cE2324A0f9CD6EeCcF1
Tx: 0x0004004fba0a3174e4f4a2a8637735d1d96e2cec021e3c2cdf3663f534ea1c4e
34.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:38:49 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004d075Badb922662f8D47DDCF565FD97bb1EF69
Tx: 0x002c006751035b8bf9506e9a33a29c3964762c169c986d2b7289df3f911a8ba6
1,121.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:38:49 A.M.
From: 0x00049a00891BDcD33305a535A34051F1aCcE5b10
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00190063b4f81f75dac4a057f8ba6802d225734003f66ec719b233d84112eef5
29.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:38:45 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004C8be0bCa3cBbf22997CF654B4EE3F9ab0f49D
Tx: 0x0024005e6f7683e8203c0a9b9990a7795aa1901a205286e5174152ef2e18b4c1
210.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:38:45 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00497bB7e32f778C15BBE53a9eA8Fe043698ac5B
Tx: 0x00630027c623b3d40a6662e5b1026aff773e84921cc203bbfc68a83e06d55ddd
1,528.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:38:04 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0048f9049edD6816A471BC46782eF5fC2E6e578F
Tx: 0x0033005a51be31ac3fa8b83bf4a670c21ac7d97a346b4f9a16a55675fb80438a
764.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 2:38:04 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004c676bc4BcBB906C7749583764104Ee25aEAAD
Tx: 0x00540059d174b63630f8098400b9f24592663b4d5781912206bbcfbd275e151e
