Spike bucket
07/23/2026, 1:39:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/23/2026, 1:39:00 A.M. to 07/23/2026, 1:40:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 119.12
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
16.38 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 16 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/23/2026, 1:39:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
68.42 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
49.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000b41A0756a3A1e94D68A2c0b28F3c8a13faC62
Net receiver
Unknown type
49.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
Net sender
Unknown type
18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
Net sender
Unknown type
14.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
16.38 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/23/2026, 1:39:06 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/23/2026, 1:38:06 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
119.12 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/23/2026, 1:40:07 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/23/2026, 1:37:06 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/23/2026, 1:41:06 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate3 tx
36,487.99 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/23/2026, 1:36:12 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/23/2026, 1:42:06 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/23/2026, 1:35:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
49.7 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 1:39:18 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x000b41A0756a3A1e94D68A2c0b28F3c8a13faC62
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 1:39:36 A.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x006b0036890efec0fb17d428109ba3f9054fb015d9ba8eaa669ec681908d97e1
8.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 1:39:18 A.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004c0025edfe5592313ca07af55da5e91da815c0b5ac08cdc63ffa19929cbe82
14.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 1:39:18 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001100220f26f91d1b6c62f9667486d3c1a9cfa3682bd1fe357effedbf3d1c3b
49.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 1:39:18 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x000b41A0756a3A1e94D68A2c0b28F3c8a13faC62
Tx: 0x000e001f8ed7a3c9df8387d5c32be4c70c48e3832bb6d5916ab02a439e6006a1
4.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 1:39:18 A.M.
From: 0x002421a135338777A2A26f2fb6f5ca5FEa8CA7d3
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0049001b163935219fad509d97f83d3252de93210ad46280a71cb5e8bcd030de
18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 1:39:18 A.M.
From: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00750016c39dc0a383419ff3ff9314ae8d4dcb8342e8df989e76f037625544eb
7.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 1:39:18 A.M.
From: 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002f006aa0f8d5a5844c39b0eaed7f34aecab542afbfdaa1c7076b73fdf72d70
14.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 1:39:18 A.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0043000bd8fb5f571cbd90d2158bc24a8e519bf983592dda01885a327d10bb93
