Spike bucket
07/23/2026, 12:15:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/23/2026, 12:15:00 A.M. to 07/23/2026, 12:16:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
12% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,690.95
Unexplained QUAI: 19,042.35
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 40% of explained volume
Relative context
5.7x above local average
4.1x previous minute
8.1x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
17
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
21,733.29 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 21733 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 17 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/23/2026, 12:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (88% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 17 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (12%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
2,690.58 QUAI across 16 visible rows
0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,079.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0003DDff81B4f6904E1b7bf9526ED9BC3C281c5B
Net receiver
Unknown type
837.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
326.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
280.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate9 tx
21,733.29 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:15:06 A.M.
-1 min
51 tx
5,321.11 QUAI • 61 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:14:07 A.M.
+1 min
17 tx
2,690.95 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:16:06 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
1.04 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:13:06 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:17:06 A.M.
-3 min
50 tx
883.36 QUAI • 60 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:12:07 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:18:06 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1.04 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:11:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,079.82 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:15:23 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B
All transfers in this selected minute
17 transactions
0.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:15:30 A.M.
From: 0x003c9aC78A76ce401469475a1e2F9E372e1d754b
To: 0x0011A77cF0A806159CcfC8191969d0C83Ec4cD2c
Tx: 0x00550066470754b9658b310fb89af84401c0cb2a46255791d2396c1c95958e16
7.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:15:23 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003DE90581096136B450076507A2994e08Cb2cAF
Tx: 0x000100338451492043e01439d210f7d528a110f5cfa89444551192ac6782b8dc
47.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:15:23 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x0029006c3d8d266dc43f61a89e9ecc7031d32887a6b05379ff3a3160a58a5e7f
1,079.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:15:23 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B
Tx: 0x0053001b798eca23546658329700f3ceb06ba367b682904acca7b504a4a496d3
280.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:15:23 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x000d002db6bd134e811fc6f5622678c4e1754b0e01ef76f24864c45c91a09f61
33.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:15:23 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x00490028677c0df8568807b1a1eb9a68b25b5f8e7e8c18313dc4d49bdd75ef7a
4.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:15:23 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0041047fb41Fbb3952b197F81aaCF0661BEAab75
Tx: 0x0066000d3e61fe7cfaecb731a51a85ae6fb330ca335cec4a3c7d84b835769d28
5.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:15:23 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000A766df7ba011c8682F90126370f308De0C69E
Tx: 0x005a00230546b528c188ce58ff8c7aa5c895f14982b17e79a2483181d0a6e9cc
8.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:15:23 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x006f0048bf500277e2286845bf737fd0ed91c09e676ec18a01623fb7dd39facc
326.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:15:23 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0023004aaff8c99deca4297f1c690c6576570654ecfe973bd21cd0dd3ba6d384
7.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:15:23 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0075B412784C5496aA3792b990E67794082F9986
Tx: 0x000d00133ab4c4834c731c3bf78d6055a0a34cded42a0077d0377aab1cab8aa4
8.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:15:23 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x004c00091e3d6a48863ecf3b437bf54e6b5ca0541f2be7c872b21aaaf4e0ec05
5.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:15:23 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002F97062f6324C696EEEB4105F87f35907e1c6f
Tx: 0x00090018fe2c25f314081df26238882bd487ead77270e685741aa1d27c785329
6.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:15:23 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0063C504CD47Cc115338f4130026576471a3F4B3
Tx: 0x0071002aa8647f9937b7dea7e3b27e0ac29c911938b3d2c3930defd330dc9e24
24.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:15:23 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007B21A498602CF061B0007f01967731a34F578E
Tx: 0x0037002510609e90cb7e6ed108a69c8b89ec142b8b8859e6ae0b8e9a5be96cb7
7.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:15:23 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x0022006ad5021b5e41501838ee30538ab1551f3e119baba6dd3823e5188b18dc
837.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:15:23 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0003DDff81B4f6904E1b7bf9526ED9BC3C281c5B
Tx: 0x004900691f67fe1d41bfe7c5b9aedab67c7b21134cacba49029590bd5a1ace41
