Spike bucket
07/23/2026, 12:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/23/2026, 12:14:00 A.M. to 07/23/2026, 12:15:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21,733.29
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 92% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
5125x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
51
Observable rows
9
17.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
61
Asset volume
5,321.11 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 5321 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/23/2026, 12:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,728.29 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003c9aC78A76ce401469475a1e2F9E372e1d754b
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0011A77cF0A806159CcfC8191969d0C83Ec4cD2c
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
Net sender
Unknown type
207.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,728.29 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
51 tx
5,321.11 QUAI • 61 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:14:07 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
1.04 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:13:06 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate9 tx
21,733.29 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:15:06 A.M.
-2 min
50 tx
883.36 QUAI • 60 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:12:07 A.M.
+2 min
17 tx
2,690.95 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:16:06 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
1.04 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:11:06 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:17:06 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:10:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.77 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:14:06 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:14:36 A.M.
From: 0x005d6FB19f1d4cFE673731d0EB5bd4e05Fc41c54
To: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Tx: 0x0076004ef37de74b1e5c85cbed0b8d7956677559e56666b2cf0176d9f31854b7
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:14:36 A.M.
From: 0x003c9aC78A76ce401469475a1e2F9E372e1d754b
To: 0x0011A77cF0A806159CcfC8191969d0C83Ec4cD2c
Tx: 0x0045006c56adca5b13524601cb72f6e3b023972e3ccf36eb7de0e35463835c72
19,998.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:14:06 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001d005999248d9f0ab53a697816d58f76eb96a4ecb03a366527b6b7cf6032d9
207.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:14:06 A.M.
From: 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00670031d19c437bacff83c5be58c1fe875188bc7fc475c0dfc034c0b1c359cb
101.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:14:06 A.M.
From: 0x003e14993f0d5Bb98cD611909d4C2cADF25a0Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002f000cd0a7137e868d0133fbdbb231f26c0b688c42a0a698d748bb1cce571e
105.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:14:06 A.M.
From: 0x0015216C123A2532e9bf6b0Af42402Ae0f0ACFC7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0054001a1d4954208fa2a5856d1c0402394094382928ec4e5227659a8431fd4f
109.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:14:06 A.M.
From: 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007a002f42bbfb738beb067ea1f1095b79ded6e3b59c76ec13d731ea7b6c854f
102.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:14:06 A.M.
From: 0x003Deceb4dc3e586b05CEf1e689AE61ef2A7bC6b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004b000f9eba0a8d5b02da949af7737ed7ebd28c51066846de87c326c2ab8399
103.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/23/2026, 12:14:06 A.M.
From: 0x00207ff1171b4889763af8cc79472d0dA9907FC9
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0031006fb1a5132e26a90a32b4e14a0a0e293453640181bfd6ee946229bb3e2a