Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 11:57:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 11:57:00 P.M. to 07/22/2026, 11:58:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 63,939
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 31% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 11:57:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
43,504.97 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Balanced
Unknown type
39,997.8 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
14,999.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
6,446.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 15 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 43,504.97 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:57:06 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:56:06 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate9 tx
64,041 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:58:06 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:55:06 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:59:06 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:54:06 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/23/2026, 12:00:06 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
19,999.46 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:53:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.04 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:57:19 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
2,059.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:57:19 P.M.
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0002001769936bac1baa81374c07c2e3ecd7bbd2c680d72265f140ae48feabc1
19,998.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:57:19 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00320015f0ddcecd309d83ab16b02a5aef5fa3b036681f8e3213253ca433ba8a
14,999.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:57:19 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0050004939c063a46edb162c6ade7d864b1bdd15d70efbe34f888a889ebd90ab
6,446.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:57:19 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f007403616dbf228d48c0bb3246f8edc0035bfb0fb66a9ddef27b5348894c
420 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:57:19 P.M.
From: 0x0022c1B667e980817159357df9E5496E826bA828
To: 0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1
Tx: 0x0016004227175521799ed9606e35c10d515dc59b611c45c318389821400d164d
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:57:19 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0079003ba9719ac181fb79f3f60c6474b45bb1146725acf8daa6ee65ce430be3
19,999.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:57:19 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0029002f9613b18977ddeb0c7950671c1d32a7254366109808a5f41bf6aba7a3
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:57:19 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x007d0072c43d02ea85e2c1f782bfccedd4ff5be90b58e56d95dab79e84272cc7