Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 11:46:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 11:46:00 P.M. to 07/22/2026, 11:47:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 40,169.18
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
2.4x above local average
1998x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
20,000 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002384b10AED061481d9cDC8F19cF17285A33Faf • 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 20000 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002384b10AED061481d9cDC8F19cF17285A33Faf • 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C.
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 11:46:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002384b10AED061481d9cDC8F19cF17285A33Faf
Net sender
Unknown type
20,060.15 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
Net receiver
Unknown type
20,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
Net sender
Unknown type
110 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 110 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
20,000 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:46:06 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
10.01 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:45:06 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
20,169.18 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:47:06 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:44:06 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:48:06 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:43:06 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate6 tx
26,278.06 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:49:06 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:42:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
20,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:46:03 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002384b10AED061481d9cDC8F19cF17285A33Faf
To: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:46:34 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x004e00023b5b7f4d4ddbfd22a7f83c7e4a2aa78edb1bf1f121994f604d7dd177
19,999.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:46:34 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x00220026fbad4a6cd27fa21d4ba02da9ca295471c60507fce0ebb9ed0094bc93
60.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:46:16 P.M.
From: 0x002384b10AED061481d9cDC8F19cF17285A33Faf
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x000c001f886930affa81bd26d92f793a1e12fa8e45911b7cb8fa2150a72cf050
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:46:16 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x000c004ea04cb53c59d784c07838b47863977b6eb7311ba6a826eabb927fc9fa
20,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:46:03 P.M.
From: 0x002384b10AED061481d9cDC8F19cF17285A33Faf
To: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
Tx: 0x005b00481da0b36b290445a555a7dd9deb45e8573a791a5c2105cd39c5679245