Spike bucket
07/22/2026, 11:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/22/2026, 11:38:00 P.M. to 07/22/2026, 11:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
1% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 191.59
Unexplained QUAI: 37,239.76
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume
Relative context
3.8x above local average
327x previous minute
195x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
37,431.36 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 37431 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/22/2026, 11:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
112.02 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
78.57 QUAI across 7 visible rows
0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Net receiver
Unknown type
62.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0029787CEaB3D78F91cA9A83328c8b55ED4C628A
Net receiver
Unknown type
49.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
Net sender
Unknown type
14.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate5 tx
37,431.36 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:38:06 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
114.3 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:37:06 P.M.
+1 min
10 tx
191.59 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:39:06 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
19,999.03 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:36:06 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:40:06 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:35:06 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:41:06 P.M.
-4 min
9 tx
21,768.67 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/22/2026, 11:34:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
62.92 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:38:21 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
9.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:38:56 P.M.
From: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002c00485d10a119a5b703825920f4f4093b174fc643e2dfd0d352d1d670d79e
13.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:38:56 P.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007100192adaf691e2932a2a6b3e317b5151c685047fddb73fe2d2e831c24223
14.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:38:56 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005f0052aee0e6b18432d549e9e1d0a953e41bd27c706af45c6a5e3f486e6b9b
12.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:38:56 P.M.
From: 0x00640f915Ad4fd45d88CF25C77E7cF9F121dbDFd
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00290068f6983e4c0f137955fe6c4ef83c10c46d523fa9a3fbc5e1a05ac6023c
49.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:38:56 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0029787CEaB3D78F91cA9A83328c8b55ED4C628A
Tx: 0x005e004a538a294b2ea93a71966eeb085d7d85935695bfb119b616c6db9ae79a
6.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:38:56 P.M.
From: 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003500658de0d3703a69e32a62f8e5121aefdd4967fc727e1fd0062ee26756ef
14.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:38:56 P.M.
From: 0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002500275d294102a6dc58e6b11fbc8883598cb55b591f5c27d637c63bc59fb8
8.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:38:56 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00150019acb31e8f1d5783f2530c620f62fd3b35919c9cec681bdb3910234bda
62.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:38:21 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Tx: 0x006c0058ae70bdd86efd8ecee8bee1c09442c1ef073da8dd17d34233e3199e95
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/22/2026, 11:38:05 P.M.
From: 0x005760C65Eaa2D9eF2851FC883230ada8a1867c4
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x007f00766b65f4eca8ae57ba3f04ae8a90e184267b6eed522a22ed6ef71e2150